s&p just made intermediate term top @ 1431.8

Discussion in 'Trading' started by thorn, Dec 22, 2006.

did the s&p make an intermediate term top @ 1431.8?

  1. Yes, it will last thru 3/31/07

    9 vote(s)
    15.8%
  2. No, it will be topped in the 1st qtr of 2007

    32 vote(s)
    56.1%
  3. i don't know / i don't care / go away thorn

    16 vote(s)
    28.1%
  1. volente_00

    volente_00


    You brave enough to sell them again this month ?
     
    #251     Jan 20, 2007
  2. Cutten

    Cutten

    Luckily, rapidly exiting bad trades is not one of Rearden's weaknesses.
     
    #252     Jan 21, 2007
  3. thorn

    thorn

    exactly. saying RM got long oil @ 63 is like saying i'm short the s&p from a prediction 2 years ago. yet bozo has done both. and thats why he's known as bozo.
     
    #253     Jan 21, 2007
  4. volente_00

    volente_00

    hey thorny bird, check what is going on in spy options for front month.
     
    #254     Jan 22, 2007
  5. thorn

    thorn

    odds have incresed to 10%-15% chance of this prediction being correct.

    If you follow this thread and used a strategy I layed out here, you immediately sold Feb 1450 calls when the Jan 1450 calls expired last friday, and you are already making out like a bandit !! My average price selling the Feb 1450 calls was $6.1 and I could have done better imo.
     
    #255     Jan 22, 2007
  6. SPX has KEY support at 1422.60

    As long as the market closes above that level, I am looking for the first two parts of a "5-3-5" sequence to be completed today.

    New target suggests 1455.15 / 1457.50

    A close back above 1435.70 will confirm this next sequence with initial targets of 1444/1447 before encountering any substantial resistance.

    Stay nimble!

    :)
     
    #256     Jan 22, 2007
  7. thorn

    thorn

    i don't see that. from the chart, looks like support starts at 1405. am i wrong?
     
    #257     Jan 22, 2007
  8. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    "5-3-5" is a up or down pattern?
     
    #258     Jan 22, 2007
  9. Mine comes in at 1421 but close enough. I hear what you are saying but any penetration of this level could result in a new bear move and the commencing of a lower level wave 3. I am still bearish until I see some confirmation of support holding here.
     
    #259     Jan 22, 2007
  10. Off the Jan. 10th low, you can see 5 days to the upside, and then a 3 day pullback.
    Today is Day #3 of that 3 day pullback.
     
    #260     Jan 22, 2007