I made a change. It makes more stocks tradeable than there were before. The 1,16.5 MAE is the default strike price. When the 33-day ATR is lower than the 16.5-day ATR, set the strike price lower than the 1,16.5 MAE proportionately, not necessarily exactly on the 1,33 MAE.
Finding a juicy profit on a naked put has been a little tough hunting lately and then I found ROKU to be a honey hole and I wondered if it would be on a Naked Puts Screener and I made one and it was, so now I use one again. I figure I can live with wide bid-ask spreads as long as I make a juicy profit in the end.
The 1,20 MAE is the default strike price. When the 50-day ATR or 37.5-day ATR is lower than the 20-day ATR, set the strike price lower than the 1,20 MAE, not necessarily on the 1,50 MAE, not necessarily on the 1,37.5 MAE, but as low as you can make a decent profit.
I went back to the "number by paint" MACD system I had on July 3rd. When the 1,100,100 MACD’s MACD is in green, set the strike price on the green 1,20 MAE. When the 1,100,100 MACD’s MACD is in white, set the strike price on the silver 1,37.5 MAE. When the 1,100,100 MACD’s MACD is in red, set the strike price on the red 1,37.5 MAE. If you can’t pencil in a decent profit on the strike price you figure you need on the nearest weekend expiration date or the next, settle for a decent-paying strike price as close as you can get to it or walk on by.
Should be when the 1,100,100 MACD’s MACD is in red, set the strike price on the red 1,50 MAE, not 1,37.5. Another thing I just noticed, the midpoint between 20 and 50 would be 35, not 37.5.
When the 1,50,50 MACD’s MACD is in green, set the strike price on the bottom of the green 1,16.5 MAE fill. When the 1,50,50 MACD’s MACD is in white, set the strike price somewhere in the silver 1,33 MAE fill. When the 1,50,50 MACD’s MACD is in red, set the strike price somewhere in the red 1,49.5 MAE fill.
The Eyeball strategy worked mostly but I finally got some shares assigned. I don't feel bad about getting CIEN, but the OSTK was a falling knife. I went back to an ATR system.
I'm doing all of my put selling using the Barchart Naked Put Screener, which now screens stocks and ETFs together. Occasionally or regularly go to the CBOE and download the most recent Available Weeklys Excel sheet and paste the Ticker column ETFs, ETNs and equities into a new Weekly Options watchlist.
roc cross sectionally 6-mo is a better indicator of momentum for ETFs. In shorter time frames there’s no “silver bullet” and you have to make an active decision on why a period should be utilized (e.g. “momentum post-earnings season” or “momentum since bottom in march”).