S&P 500 looking very toppy

Discussion in 'Trading' started by rubberbird, Jun 20, 2005.

Is the S&P 500 about out of gas?

  1. Yes, rubberbird is usually correct

    67 vote(s)
    33.3%
  2. No, there's more upside ahead

    46 vote(s)
    22.9%
  3. I don't know/ I don't care/ the bird is an idiot

    88 vote(s)
    43.8%
  1. A zig zag market for someone, can be a market that still is trending for someone else.
    The short, medium and long term trend is long. So sideways or not, it stays long. Especially if you see no trend you should follow the trend in an higher timeframe. There is always a trend, but not always in the timeframe you would like.
    Range trading only exist in a specific timeframe; it will never occur
    in ALL the timeframes.

    I made yesterday more than 4 points net in the ES by trendfollowing.
     
    #171     Jul 14, 2005
  2. Exactly.

    There's always a trend...we just need to be willing to change our interval or trading instrument to trade in it...

    Adapt.

    NihabaAshi
     
    #172     Jul 14, 2005
  3. This is a SILLY agruement.

    Of course there is ALWAYS a trend if I trade off a 1 min chart!

    Generally speaking we refer to the market on a Daily timeframe and while I will admit the Bulls recaptured the market at the end of Fridays close for the last 6 months the macro Daily trend has changed 3 agruably 4 times.

    Please don't make me post a chart of the obvious.
     
    #173     Jul 14, 2005
  4. #174     Jul 14, 2005
  5. brave man
    i am looking at them pre market and all i can say is thank god i closed out end of the day. i thought they were a short too.
     
    #175     Jul 14, 2005
  6. Mvic

    Mvic

    Thanks for the advice, I acknowledge I always have more to learn.
     
    #176     Jul 14, 2005
  7. I posted last weekend that the trend would be up for the next two weeks. So the trend is LONG based on daily timeframes.
    The fact that the trend changes 3 to 4 times has no importance. Only the trend at the moment you trade is important. So if it was three weeks ago short doesn't matter if you trade today.

    There are many trends: a monthly trend, a weekly trend, a daily trend, an hourly trend ...... so you don't need to go down to 1 minute trends. Because that is a silly arguement. If you can't see clear in 1 timeframe you should look in another one.

    The only problem there is, is the person that watches the charts, some see lots of things, some see nothing at all. That's where the problem is. That's why there is never consensus whether to go long or short.
     
    #177     Jul 14, 2005
  8. I didn't have the intention to " lecture" you. My english is not good enough to always express myself in a proper way.
    Excuse me if i may sound arrogant, i just wanted to react from my personal experience.
     
    #178     Jul 14, 2005
  9. My god, civility in an ET thread! What is the world coming to?
     
    #179     Jul 14, 2005
  10. How bout humility. The bird throws in the proverbial towel and accepts defeat on this one.
     
    #180     Jul 14, 2005