S&P 500 looking very toppy

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Romeo, Jul 8, 2003.

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  1. Romeo

    Romeo

    My quantitative analysis tells me that we are in the process of forming a major top in the S&P 500.

    The formation looks to be either a head and shoulders formation, or a double top pattern. Either way, the indices are beginning to point lower.

    Any comments are welcome!

    Romeo
     
  2. The market does what least people expect:
    Maybe we will see some downside today and not much action
    in the coming days...
     
  3. You would think that the Market would do what the mass expects....
     
  4. Romeo

    Romeo

    Why would you think that? History has proven that the market goes the opposite of consensus opinion.
     
  5. So how was the internet bubble formed??? consensus was bearish you are suggesting???..... The market does what it does it goes thru the path of least resistance which side do you think the mass is on or the money???
     
  6. well, amazing what heavy resistance around 1005 is
     
  7. Romeo

    Romeo

    The internet bubble was an event. I'm referring to consensus and the stock market as a WHOLE over a long period. And it doesn't follow the consensus very well based on historical pricing models.
     
  8. ktm

    ktm

    Most people are still bullish here, regardless of the poll. How many of you were buying today?

    The poor amateur investor type is afraid of missing the boat.

    Check out the sentiment readings...still very bullish and the higher it goes, the more bullish. It's a beautiful thing, quite frankly.
     
  9. Kap

    Kap

    so your shorting all the way up..... not sure how much more you can take... when the market looks at its most bullish you then decide to cut your losses... then it will dump, just like last time... thought you might of learnt by now... well I havn't ...ouch :eek:
     
  10. Romeo

    Romeo

    I do believe the shorts are in enough pain already. The market does appear at its most bullish right now. Hence, a top. It's priced as if nothing could go wrong...with earnings.

    Earnings will send the market lower!
     
    #10     Jul 8, 2003
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