'S&P 500 is incredibly dangerous': Why Buffett's favorite valuation indicator is a flashing warning

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by Frederick Foresight, Jul 21, 2024.

  1. S2007S

    S2007S


    NOT that this means anything but just another fun fact to add to the 46th record s&p closing of 2024!


    As of 2024-10-14 03:15:00 PM CDT (updates daily):
    The Stock Market is Significantly Overvalued according to Buffett Indicator. Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (currently at 202.1%), it is likely to return -0.1% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.
     
    #21     Oct 14, 2024
  2. ironchef

    ironchef

    They told me this time is different.

    Wait, they told us this time is different, back in 2000.
     
    #22     Oct 15, 2024
  3. Snuskpelle

    Snuskpelle

    It's always different until it's not. :)
     
    #23     Oct 15, 2024
  4. mervyn

    mervyn

    #24     Oct 21, 2024
  5. nitrene

    nitrene

    Kostin also said the market is going to end 2024 at 5200. He is a bear like most who work for the large banks. JP Morgan analysts have been bearish since 2021.
     
    #25     Oct 21, 2024
  6. S2007S

    S2007S

    Nvda just added a quarter of a trillion dollars in market capitalization in 1 week alone!!!

    I hope earnings can keep the stock afloat come November 19th when they report!!!

    Fear of missing out is running rampant!!!
     
    #26     Oct 21, 2024
  7. nitrene

    nitrene

    NVDA will probably get to $175 by the earnings report. That's probably the best case scenario. That would be a $4.2 Trillion market cap.
     
    #27     Oct 21, 2024
  8. mervyn

    mervyn

    then you have to ask, who are the sellers?
     
    #28     Oct 21, 2024
  9. S2007S

    S2007S



    Better hope those earnings are literally the best the universe has ever seen because at that valuation they better be, the most expensive company in the entire world better show the best earnings it has ever shown......
    This company is now very much priced in going into earnings, a 175 dollar stock price into earnings will be fully valued and just a slither of a miss on any number will drop this stock so fast that it will break it's old record of most market capitalization ever lost in a single day at over half a trillion dollars!!!
     
    #29     Oct 21, 2024