Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by Sekiyo, Jul 4, 2020.
Anyone trade seasonality ?
Maybe it's more related to commodity trading ?
Someone posted a heatmap years ago that proved very accurate. Im sure the very smart traders incorporate it into their trading.
I am going to check day by day seasonality,
Maybe I can find one holy day. LMAO.
Here is another chart
If you really want to dig into it, seasonalgo and MRCI (both paid services) are the best sources for ideas. I papertraded some Seasonalgo seasonals about 2 years ago and was moderately "profitable." I think the ags/meats/softs make more sense than financial contracts (currencies/indicies/bonds).
Agree on the commodity side.
Here is mrci hypothetical equity curves :
Not impressive lately
Except for day trading, I always check seasonal before anything else. But I would never trade only on a seasonal pattern, only on fundamentals or only on a chart indicator.
Seasonal analysis is really overlooked. The average of the past 20 years, display on a chart will not tell anyone when to buy and when to sell. Sorry for adept of the "KISS" in trading (Gurus love that), it is just way more complicated.
I also agree on the commodity side and I will add all kind of indices.
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