For those who know me, you know that I seldom call a trade and I am right in most of the time. Below is one of the christmas gift: Buy the Iwm butterfly for Nov long 72(x1), 76 (x1), short (x2) 74 - you can use either call or put, whichever you can fill up with the cheapest. Max profit when IWM=74 by next Thursday. For today price: risk/reward is about 1/4 You can use RUT if you have bigger account. I will revisit this thread next Thursday. Time to win some cash for christmas, good luck.
I did something similar on your idea. 70 74 78 callyfly in Nov for 20bps of risk. (small trade): about 10% notional paid about 1.45 for 2.55 of max upside (though if I get a $1 i'll be happy). got good execution because my broker doesn't let me trade flys directly so i had to trade as 2 callspreads and the second callspread (selling delta) was into the rally by chance.