I'm seeing increasing indications the Russian counter-offensive in Kursk is about to be encircled. Although I will wait until I have something on it that's more of a fact rather than forward looking conjecture. It makes complete sense though because quite few Russian units are participating in the counter offensive versus what UA has in the area.
we had this task in 3 rd grade even before computers were a thing - fill nicely looking tables with random numbers
So Russia redeploys troops but takes multiple villages and towns every day in pokrovsk direction Seems like Ukraine doesn't have army anymore
You do realize that Russia is stalled and making no progress in the Pokrovsk direction for over a week.
Not really new info divulged by Budanov regarding the state of the Russsian economy: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/09/14/7475115/
My understanding is they have advanced to the south instead of being able to push further directly against Pohkrovsk. So there is a risk eventually they can flank it. Not saying they will succeed.
True, the Russian have been attempting to push south in the Pohkrovsk region. However the reality remains that they have spent a week with little progress. And the Russians attacking in Kursk are about to be flanked from the rear. New Russian border breach and rear attack surprise occupation army https://english.nv.ua/nation/new-ru...occupation-army-military-expert-50451023.html
Putin will have problems with the oligarchs that control him and Russia long before next summer. Putin has held off the wolves by telling them that Trump will be elected and give Putin what he wants and end things. Not so sure it is going to go that way. Putin is following the American election more than Americans are. Ukraine is as well. The article posted stated that Putin will need to do a mobilization in the summer of 2025. That is a total crock. He needs to do one RIGHT NOW OR SIX MONTHS AGO. But there are negative consequences to doing that. But in no way does he have adequate troops to hang on until next summer and still try to advance. I could say "next summer plus the time needed to train them" but Russians do not train their troops so there is that. Of course sending untrained troops into combat just creates the need for more untrained troops. The Russians are not that smart. And yes, the Ukrainians are in bad shape for troops but they are ramping up their home-grown missiles and drones at a rate that is a problem for Russia. In addition to western missiles and planes. The oligarchs are not as interested in the long war that Putin is okay with. They don't care about his legacy.