Russia & Ukraine

Discussion in 'Politics' started by UsualName, Jan 18, 2022.

  1. UsualName

    UsualName

    Checking in on Russia:

    4E43B9F0-0275-4B0F-938A-9539A7C4A2D9.jpeg
     
    #1581     Mar 3, 2022
    Bugenhagen likes this.
  2. UsualName

    UsualName

    An interesting thing happened when Russia attacked Ukraine, some anti vaccine sites and posts on social media suddenly became anti Ukraine. It’s odd how that works.

    How sure are you that you are not being pumped with disinformation yourself?

    https://www.theguardian.com/austral...ocus-to-putin-praise-and-ukraine-conspiracies
     
    #1582     Mar 3, 2022
    Ricter likes this.
  3. This time next year he will be in the U.S. selling gold for Rosland Capital.

    :cool:


    [​IMG]
     
    #1583     Mar 3, 2022
    UsualName likes this.
  4. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    This is an interview with former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Wesley Clark. He strongly supports a "no-fly zone" above the Ukraine to stop Russian aggression.

    He makes one very important point in his commentary - if you are unwilling to take military action to protect nations from the Russians because Putin might "nuke us" then you might as well "give up on the concept of extended deterrence". The lesson that Putin will learn from Ukraine if we allow his military action to continue unimpeded is that the West will not stand up for nations. What is stop Russia from attacking Estonia or Poland if Putin knows NATO will not stand-up and defend them. Effectively making NATO membership worthless.

    More below -- included some bolded highlights.


    ‘It means the end of Putin’: Former NATO commander Wesley Clark explains Ukraine war
    https://nypost.com/2022/03/02/former-nato-commander-wesley-clark-urges-us-to-reconsider-no-fly-zone/

    he Post op-ed editor Kelly Jane Torrance spoke to former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Wesley Clark by telephone Wednesday. These are excerpts from their conversations.

    Q: What moves could the United States make beyond sanctions right now that would help protect Ukraine?

    A: The most important move now is for the president to announce Vladimir Putin is a war criminal. Really. This gives enormous diplomatic leverage and a greater incentive to help the campaign.

    Q: Does Putin really care if the president or international bodies declare him a war criminal?

    A: Firstly, it can rally European support even more strongly — European governments are all attentive to the concept of war crimes. Secondly, it reinforces Ukraine by supporting President [Volodymyr] Zelensky. And third, if it goes through, it means the end of Putin as a world leader no matter how this turns out. It’s a very powerful move. Putin doesn’t really care about the money. He does care about his reputation — and so does China.

    Q: NATO seems to be wimping out slightly — they’re saying members, such as Poland, cannot even fly fighter planes to Ukraine through NATO airspace.

    A: This is wrongheaded. This is driven by the United States, and I would urge the United States to reconsider this. Russia does not own the borders of Ukraine. They belong to Ukraine. Ukraine is a nation under threat. And under the United Nations Charter, nations have the right to request assistance for self-defense.

    How would the Russians know a fighter plane has been transferred using NATO airspace? How do they know it didn’t fly in over the Black Sea? How do they know it didn’t come in over Belarus?

    Look, for 30 years since the fall of the Berlin Wall and the breakup of the Soviet Union, the United States has operated as the world’s superpower. Americans today don’t recall the stresses and difficulties of the Cold War era. As NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said, this is the new normal. We are not fighting Iraq. We’re not in Afghanistan. We are against another near-peer competitor that has nuclear weapons. We have to learn and understand how to deal with situations like this. This won’t be the last.

    Q: You advocate a no-fly zone?

    A: Absolutely. The airspace belongs to Ukraine. If they ask for help, why can’t we fly airplanes in there? Say, oh, it’s because of the Russians, they might come up and contest it. That’s the Russians’ problem. They’re going to get shot down. Okay, then what? Putin says he’s going to use a nuclear weapon. If we back away from that challenge, if we don’t confront it, this is like a two-pair poker bluff, for incredibly high stakes.

    Q: Would Putin use a nuclear weapon?

    A: If he was losing, I think he might. And if we think there’s a chance a guy would use a nuclear weapon against us, I guess we just need to give up on the concept of extended deterrence. Why would we want to defend Estonia if Putin might want to use a nuclear weapon? Is Estonia worth it? You say it’s NATO, but the cold, hard reality is Putin can move into Estonia and take control before we can make up our mind what to do. Or Taiwan — what if China says, “You come into Taiwan again, we’re going to use a nuclear weapon.” The Chinese have a lot of people, they have a lot of nuclear weapons. What if North Korea says, “You hold another exercise, we’re going to use a nuclear weapon.” Say [to North Korea] “Oh, we’re going to obliterate you.” “No, you’re not going to obliterate us, we can attack the United States — now.” What if Iran says it? That’s the answer to it. It was easy to be the world’s hyperpower when we were going against Libya, Iraq and Syria. The United States has to recalibrate its understanding, leadership and processes to work in this new area or we will lose the rules-based international system, which we’re proud to have established after World War II and which we established by using the concept of extended deterrence.

    Q: Is there something we can do, at least let’s say to degrade Russian capabilities, if they continue to escalate and they continue to kill civilians?

    A: We could certainly use cyber. Here’s the problem. Anything you do that has an effect on Russian operations will cross the so-called red line of Mr. Putin. Here’s the thing. Ukraine is the toughest opponent he will face, tougher than, let’s say, Latvia or Estonia or Lithuania. If you can’t find a way to deal with his threats now, you have to find a way to deal with them later. And not only from Putin but from North Korea, Iran and China. Putin’s challenge is a challenge to the US doctrine of extended deterrence. During the Cold War, there were always questions asked: Would the United States really sacrifice and, say, risk New York to defend Hamburg, Germany, from a Russian attack? That was the question. We knew we didn’t have the forces to stop a Russian attack on NATO. But we undergird the credibility of our first-use doctrine by deploying US soldiers and having a range of nuclear options from tactical to theater to then strategic. We essentially got rid of that range of options, which was important to link US commitments to NATO, the US strategic deterrent. Now Putin has found the hole in the US doctrine.

    Q: With advocating a no-fly zone, it sounds like you think we should be willing to risk a certain amount of escalation.

    A: I think we have to. We have to think about our situation and measure what actions we can take against what risks they incur both immediate and long-term.

    Q: The ultimate question is: Does the West stand by and watch innocent people slaughtered?

    A: I think that’s the conundrum that the administration is facing. What can we do without provoking a red line? And the answer to that is: It doesn’t just depend on us. It depends on Putin. I’d say it’s more than a little unpredictable.
     
    #1584     Mar 3, 2022
  5. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    This is just stupidity. What is to stop Russia is that he knows attacking a NATO country WILL illicit a response. So he won't. Duh.
     
    #1585     Mar 3, 2022
  6. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    I could throw the same thing back at you. How many things did you guys tell us was true about COVID, that we "anti vaxxers" didn't go with, and now are not true?

    You want me to list some of them?
     
    #1586     Mar 3, 2022
  7. UsualName

    UsualName

    Have at it.
     
    #1587     Mar 3, 2022
  8. UsualName

    UsualName

    Unexpectedly, Russia is failing to sell its oil.

    C0E2B2E4-8742-4240-8061-9B27F31279A6.jpeg

    Also, with airbus and Boeing pulling maintenance and parts from Russia aviation experts are saying in about 3 weeks most of Russian air travel will grounded.
     
    #1588     Mar 3, 2022
  9. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Ok, how about the statement from our President that said if we were vaccinated, we weren't going to get COVID?

    Or when the CDC said masks wouldn't help with stopping of the spread, and then they did. And then, more recently, how cloth masks didn't help - from the CDC?

    Just for a few examples.

    Or that a whole host of leaders told us vaccines wouldn't be mandated for anything. Until they tried.

    The so-called "anti vaxxer" websites all called these correctly. We could probably find more.
     
    #1589     Mar 3, 2022
  10. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    I'll go with Wesley Clark on this... someone with extensive experience of dealing with the Russians, Balkans and other military matters. Failing to take direct action such as a "no-fly zone" in Ukraine is just emboldening Putin to do whatever he pleases in the future. It is the equivalent of what Chamberlain did in 1938.
     
    #1590     Mar 3, 2022