running money - 35% a year

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by coolweb, Mar 7, 2010.

  1. Review of this trade :

    PLCM , was a good trade. I didn't see anything wrong with it, market was trending up when I bought , Market started to trend down after I bought.
    = Stop out.


    Nothing too big, no mistakes.
     
    #121     Mar 26, 2010
  2. No more trades today -
    Market trending down = I'm out of here.

    Thoughts on the markets today:

    1) It looked like it was going to hit highs of DIA again today
    2) After I think 12:00 , Things started to look downtrending.
    3) Market looks down from here.
    4) I'm not going to be bagholding some stocks when the market goes down.
    5) stop out with large size didn't hurt that much, Doesn't effect me.
     
    #122     Mar 26, 2010
  3. promagma

    promagma

    Lots of stocks just creeping downward today. Can't remember when I last saw a chart like NTES today, popping up in the AM and then a steady selloff. Even SLM today, usually would have found support by now.
     
    #123     Mar 26, 2010
  4. PLCM 30.35
    CBL 14.07
    Never be a bagholder..

    ----------------

    Promagma,
    Yes, past few weeks, when market drops big, it usually starts trending up intraday slowly , <b> Today would be the first day in a few weeks where it dropped big yesterday, started a little trend up today, and then broke down. </b>


    Could be the start of a downtrend, Either way, Risk management keeps us in check.
    I'm not a fortune teller so I can't predict what the S&P market will do.
     
    #124     Mar 26, 2010
  5. bought yuan dreyfus with all my cash
    This is more of a protection of my US dollars during my wait for the next entry, I missed a gold entry 1.5 weeks back.
    how this works
    when i wait
    cash will be in yuan fund
    when i expect to trade
    i sell the yuan dreyfus fund and trade in US dollars.


    ok waiting.
     
    #125     Apr 9, 2010
  6. I'm looking to go long UNG / Short Oil, equal dollar amounts
    Waiting... for a good entry TODAY!

    Will be hedged long-short when entering.

    ---------

    likely position
    short 2 contracts of CL
    Long 160k of UNG

    ----------------

    Price pattern prediction:
    1) UNG /NG 4.07 right now
    will fall down for the whole day to 4.03 ??? Around 30 ticks-40 ticks.
    Today should be RED


    2) I will enter around the afternoon, I'd say 2:30 PM when its almost time to close.

    3) Reversal will come tomorrow night, if not , exit.
     
    #126     Apr 12, 2010
  7. my thoughts on capital:

    Goal: Increase capital in play

    200k = 1 house.
    I feel like I'm piking with one house.
    Most fund managers manage 200 million
    200 million = 1,000 houses
    Most small fund managers manage 20 million
    20 million = 100 houses.

    I want to be trading at least 10 houses in play, slowly adding.
    ============

    We step up our game. Increase our experience, Increase our capital.
    My goal = $2million in play in 5 years.
    30% a year = $600k profits per year.

    --------

    I'm trading with around 350k right now cash , 700k margin.
    So I think within a year, I can get up to 1.5M , I'm not fearing the capital increase, because I've been hedging the risk down to around 0.5% max per trade or even 0.25% , so I'm not fearing at all. But with each good trade, I add around 100k-150k capital.. I don't want the swings down, to be large. I have a lot more money sitting on the sidelines, a lot of it, I want to be putting it into play soon, but that requires a consistent profitable step up.

    I've noticed I'm an extreme defensive trader.


    pray pray pray!
     
    #127     Apr 12, 2010
  8. thoughts on UNG price action,

    2 things will happen

    1) Price will fall all day
    I will enter at the end of the day

    2) Price will make new 60 min higher highs in the next few hours.
    I will enter once it makes a high.


    Lets watch, what happens, I'm excited.
    profit target = 7% almost , with relatively little risk.
     
    #128     Apr 12, 2010
  9. I'm long NG may, 4.072

    I'm short CL JUN, 85.85
     
    #129     Apr 12, 2010
  10. NG MAY 4.111
    +40 ticks now. Good entry.
    No heat at all.

    CL JUN 85.70 Good entry.
    + 15 ticks

    The time [bracket] for heatfree entries is minimal, Watch the charts for them...
     
    #130     Apr 12, 2010