Roubine says QE3 coming by year end!

Discussion in 'Economics' started by S2007S, Aug 25, 2011.

  1. S2007S


    Not to worry bulls, if you BUBBLE ben bernanke doest give you what you want tomorrow he will give you QE3 by the end of this year according to Roubini. I guess thats the best holiday gift the market could get this year, another round of QE3, thats because QE1 and QE2 worked oh so well!!!!!

    Everyone is putting all these percent terms on a recession, some thing 25%, other 50% I say 100% because what they arent telling you is that the economy is in the same exact recession as it was in just 3 years ago, so there really isnt a chance of a recession when were in one right now!

    QE3 Is Coming by Year End: Roubini | August 25, 2011 | 05:49 PM EDT

    A third round of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve is coming by year end, influential economist Nouriel Roubini told CNBC Thursday.

    "The reality is we’re heading toward recession, and one of the few policy bullets [the Federal Reserve] has left is monetary policy or QE3," Roubini said.

    Roubini, also known as "Dr. Doom," puts the chance of a double-dip recession at 50 percent.

    He said whether or not Federal Reserve head Ben Bernanke announces another round of quantitative easing Friday doesn't matter, it will be a reality later this year.

    He noted that during the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting the Fed "discussed wide range of other options if the economy weakens" and further weak data could "be the trigger" for the Fed to take action at its next meeting Sept. 20.

    While bad economic data on housing, jobs and home sales suggests a double-dip in the U.S., Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain "are already back in recession or never got out of the first one." Data also suggest France and Germany are in “borderline contraction” while the U.K. "has not had any economic growth for three quarters."

    He agrees with President Obama that what the U.S. needs in the short term is further fiscal stimulus and medium-term austerity. However, when Obama speaks on Sept. 5 on his job program "he can make any speech he wants, I don’t see any chance of this Congress going to pass whatever he proposes" in an election year when "the worse the economy gets, the more likely Obama is going to lose the election and Republicans will be winning."

    He's advising clients to take a "very defensive" approach toward equities and toward commodities.

    "It's better to be safe rather than sorry and this year cash is going to be king," he said. "Therefore we would stay away from a wide range of risky assets. Cash gives you zero return but that’s better than losing 20 percent or 30 percent in the stock market. Treasury bonds are at 2 percent, but they could go toward 1 percent in a recession."
  2. They reckon Bernanke might call it in the next few days. I suspect he won't but it is possible.
  3. Nobody wants to acknowledge the true nature of our economic problems.

    Neither QE3 nor QE4-7, ad nauseam, will get us back on the right track.. will only promote inflation with the ingrained economic stagnation... the economic/financial version of "hollering into the wind"...
  4. This means no QE3 is coming if Roubino thinks so.
  5. gucci


    There is a possibility, that they will not announce it but will just do it.
  6. They will have to do it some time because they have to have enough money to pay debt back.
  7. S2007S


    Markets look like they already feel BUBBLE ben bernanke cant do a thing to fix this broken economy but who knows he will talk up a bunch of nonsense just to cool everyone down. Just remember this is the same BUBBLE ben bernanke who didnt see the housing bubble, the same guy who thought this economy wasnt in a recession. IF BUBBLE ben bernanke says anything positive about this economy today just sit back and laugh because anything positive he is going to say is just going to be a big lie!
  8. It's just said on BBC news Bernanke has not put in any measures to stimulate economy.

    This is what I suspected. Look at my earlier note. He cannot afford to lose confidence in their ability to pay back debt.
  9. When is the next Fed meeting in Sept? Should bean interesting meeting as it is 2 days long.
    #10     Aug 26, 2011