For the last month I've seen countless threads dealing with RP. What happened? I'm not being facetious. It seems that the RP revolution crashed when he only got 9% of the vote in Iowa. There are still a few hard core supporters out working for him, but even the online support has seemingly vanished. People have suggested that the media has conspired against him and that the polls are misleading. They say the votes will tell the true story. RP supporters seemed so passionate that I wondered at times if he might actually be able to get enough support to make a run. At this rate he will drop out of the race before Super Tuesday. What gives!?! As I see it, there are two major problems for him. To make a serious run, he needs support from the most libertarian states. It doesn't really matter how many independents he can sway if he can't get the majority of his own party. Three states that come to mind are California, Nevada, and New Hampshire. These states have more Libertarians than other states. Unfortunately his poll results are as follows: California -- 2-4% Nevada-- 2-7% New Hampshire-- 8-11% California has more libertarians than any other state which should be great for RP because of the huge number of delegates, but he only polls at 2-4%. Now, people can say that the polls don't reflect the real support, but he has hardly demolished the poll results so far. Iowa polls had him at 6-8% and he came in with 9%. Didn't even register on the radar in Wyoming. I disagree with anyone saying New Hampshire is crucial for McCain, Romney or the other front-runners, but it is absolutely critical for Ron Paul. I've seen polls as high as 11% and as low as 5%. IMO, he needs at least 20% in New Hampshire to stay in the race at all. That would put him at 7 delegates to date. That puts him ahead of Thompson and Guliani, but Guliani hasn't even started yet and I think Thompson is about to drop out after South Carolina. His second problem is what type of support he attracts. A huge bunch of his supporters are bandwagon demonstration attendees. They participate as long as there is an fun event to attend. If the electricity fizzles, then so do they. Unfortunately these people usually don't vote in primaries. He must convince them to vote. Anyway, he absolutely needs the media attention of grabbing 20% of the vote today, or it is over for him.