And I like the methodology: Congressman Ron Paul is leading by a significant margin in Iowa, according to preliminary results of a new TeleResearch poll. Revolution PAC, the Super PAC formed to support presidential candidate Ron Paul, has received early data from the commissioned Iowa poll. The TeleResearch survey is the first to incorporate disaffected Democrats and Independents who will not vote to reelect Obama and will instead crossover to participate in the Iowa Republican Caucus, as well as likely Republican caucus-goers. Survey sample size is approximately 2,900, with almost 700 likely Republican caucus-goers. Indianaâs TeleResearch Corp., which has been polling voters for more than 18 years, reports that the margin of error is less than 3%. Factoring in both Republican caucus-goers and disaffected Democrats and Independents whoâve indicated that they will participate in the Iowa Republican Caucus, Ron Paul leads at 25%, with an approximate 4-point advantage over Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain. Factoring in only Republicans voters, Ron Paul is in a three-way dead heat for the lead, with Paul and Cain tied and Gingrich trailing by 1 point. http://www.revolutionpac.com/2011/11/new-iowa-poll-places-ron-paul-firmly-in-first-with-25/?ref=nf Comment: There is a sliver of hope for our once great nation. Get behind this man because he CAN win.
Keep in mind that this data is from a biased source. However, it is exciting that possibly, maybe a clear headed politician can be elected!
He crushed it at the debates last night. I think it was by far his best showing, they gave him a decent amount of opportunity, and he shredded the other guys on stage over the patriot act.
I think he was shocked when he was asked a question within the first 5 minutes. I know I was. I guess the corporate media has finally clued into what most of us already know, Ron Paul has a legitimate shot at the GOP nomination for 2012.
Now let's see if there's a scramble to buy him out and if he can resist. Keeping my fingers crossed that he's unswerving from his goals.
Really? Iowa Likely Republican Caucus Goers Nov 2011 Bachmann 6% Cain 6% Gingrich 27% Huntsman 3% Johnson - Paul 16% Perry 5% Roemer - Romney 20% Santorum 6% Other - Undecided 11% http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/ia/
Unlike Obama supporters, I can flinch. >_< When's the last primary for the Republican party? May? I guess we have to wait until then to see what actually happens.
Interesting. How many presidents has intrade accurately predicted? I would also be curious as to when the prediction was made in relation to the actual election.