I agree, this was one case where we were actually lucky that most politicians seem to care more about staying in office than anything else. If we had a bunch of Kamikaze Dems who didnt care about their political survival in the senate at the start of Obamas term, they could have slapped down 1 far left bill after another..... They could have fucked the country badly, instead all they managed to get through with their super majority was Obamacare, and if the surpreme court strikes that down, we will have managed to completely dodge what could have been a critical blow to America. In sort of a messed up way we should be thanking our lucky stars that there was atleast a couple democrats in the senate who cared more about their job then anything else.....
The current state of the 2012 election The good news for Romney-He is ahead in one Florida poll by 6 The good news for Obama 1.He is leading in 5 of the 7 RCP national polls 2.He is leading in both May Pennsylvania polls 3.He is leading in both May Ohio polls 4.He is leading in both May Virgina polls 5 He is leading in the 3 latest Nevada polls 6.He is leading in the 3 latest Michigan polls 7.He is leading in 2 of the 3 Wisconsin May polls with the other a tie 8.He is leading in one of 2 May Florida polls 9.He is leading on Intrade by +20 10.On Karl Roves electoral map he is leading 217 Obama- 90 Romeny,73 lean Obama -71 lean Romney 11.On RCPs electoral map he is leading 227-170 12.He is doing better in the polls then Bush was doing against Kerry in 2004
I still think you will be able to get Obama at 52 or lower right after Romney picks his VP, Intrade has a habit of drastically over reacting to the news cycle, its a pretty good market for a reversion trader.... You could have bought Elizabeth Warren at 36 yesterday cause of all the stuff happening with her in that senate race.... 3-1 is a very good payout for her winning that race, its already back to 45.....
Karl Rove specifically states many of the state polls are from months old primary election data. He says not to take state maps seriously yet.
I believe most of Karl Roves polls are from polls within the last 30 days and he only uses polls over 30 days if there are no polls in the last 30 days.Most of the swing states have polls within 30 days Notice it says 30 day average on the map
Texas will be going democrat soon NY and CA polls have Obama up +20 to +30.Texas polls only have Romney up by 6-8 Houston,Dallas,Austin and San Antonio all have democratic mayors,it will be a blue state soon when all the Latino kids start voting.What will the republicans do then :eek:
I wonder how much taxpayer money was spent trying to ram this through and pay off various insurance entities etc. I mean, the risk taken wasn't just political, there is a real financial consequence. Yeah, thank goodness that some Democrat senators will do anything to preserve their power. It actually worked to our advantage. I imagine that when the SCOTUS ruling is made public that Obama's poll numbers will head south.
If the SC strikes down Obamacare Obama will promise a bill without the mandate and with a public option,his numbers gos up .Most parts of Obamacare are popular,its the mandate that makes it unpopular The SC might strike down the mandate and keep the rest of the bill although I doubt he will be that lucky