You are underestimating the market imo.When you add all the different presidential markets on intrade thousands of contracts are traded a day.Intrade is also part of the global betting market where the odds are nearly the same.You wont be able to manipulate intrade to having Romney ahead while all the other markets and casinos have Obama 3-1
Now I starting to sense the polls are showing Pres Obama what we feel about his economic choices.... I understand the state polls trail the national polls. So this should start hitting home for more than just Carville. I note that once again we on ET led the nation. We let the nation know that big obama numbers were b.s. Obama needs to end the personal income tax and go to a flat tax on corps and or vat. Otherwise its over for him. Unless he thinks the fall will be good for the economy. --- http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney earning 49% of the vote and President Obama attracting 44% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). See tracking history. In a three-way race with Ron Paul on the ticket, itâs Romney 44%, Obama 39% and Paul 13%.
I can hardly believe this is not a joke. This is a Democrat primary. Obama lost in some counties to a federal inmate. He gave up 40 percent of the dem vote. http://www.businessweek.com/article...40-percent-of-west-virginia-vote-to-an-inmate A federal inmate who is running for president won 42 percent of the vote in West Virginiaâs Democratic primary yesterday. According to the Associated Press, Keith Judd is serving time at the Beaumont Federal Correctional Institution in Texas for making threats at the University of New Mexico in 1999. Nearly 52,000 West Virginia voters cast their ballots for Judd. It seems pretty obvious that many of them had never heard of him and simply checked the box for âthe other guy who is not Barack Obamaâ when they went to the polling booth. With 70,348 voters, Obama won the primary with 57 percent. ... Obama has little chance of winning West Virginia anyway, but it certainly doesnât bode well for him that 40 percent of registered Democrats would rather vote for a complete unknown than not vote at all. In 2008, when Republican voters were disillusioned with McCain, many simply didnât vote. Looks like Democratic voters disappointed by Obama are willing to take their grievances to the polls. from the comments...
Don't expect Huff&Puff jem to actually take your bet. As soon as you try to pin him down, he'll make like an eel.
what a troll you are. he changed the bet. the new bet is not interesting to me. He implicitly challenged me to take the intrade odds.
Romney leads in the Gallup tracking poll of registered voters (5/3-5/9): Romney 47%, Obama 44% http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx Romney leads in Rasmussen tracking poll of likely voters (5/7-5/9): Romney 49%, Obama 45% http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll These are the two most recent and most credible national tracking polls.