You are going to have to re-do the image not sure what you are showing a picture of...... I just want to make the terms clear one last time. If the percentage of the total vote by population is within Inside 5% you leave for 1 month, if it is outside 5% I leave for 3 month, i guess we will have to call 5% bang on a tie, and no one leaves. And this means NO GLOATING ABOUT THE ELECTION THE NEXT DAY, then leaving right after, like if Obama wins by less than 5%, no starting a hundred threads then serving the time afterwords..... If Romney wins by more than 5% no starting threads and then serving time afterwords.....This means nothing for the first month in your case, or three months in my case starting at 12:00 that night. We determine the percentage to 1 decimal place, so last time Obama had 52.9 McCain had 45.7% making McCain a 5.2% loser.... We arent going like 8 decimal places deep cause then the math can get fuzzy..... Are we perfectly clear?
Exactly. Obama is losing right now by any real metric. Just like you would think with the economy in the dumper. But, by my calculations the economy and consumer confidence will go up within 2 to 3 months barring an exogenous shock. So right as the economy is improving gas prices will go up and probably snuff it out.
I like making bets like this..... I just thought of the one wildcard, and i was going to ask Ak47 to throw this in as a caveat to the bet but i already set the terms, and im not going to try to change them now, but if Ron Paul makes an independent run im toast.......
I honestly think Obama is going to win by a percentage point or 2, but atleast if that happens i will have gotten rid of one of the people who is going to rub salt in all our wounds the day after..... If Romney wins by more than 5 i might just take a 3 month vacation..... to celebrate..... If Obama wins by more than 5, and i got to listen to the gloating without being able to respond someone should probably put me on suicide watch...... Maybe i can give you my emergency contact number just for safe measure Jem....
I dont think he will either, but its just a stupid thing that could totally hose me, that i should have thought of.....
I'm not changing the bet and we can go with whatever your choice is I don't know if the final official numbers will be known on election night.Do we go with the estimates of election night or do we wait until the numbers are official ? Your choice