My motivation is $-based. I have ~$10k riding on a win at even money. This is after laying off the majority of the risk when Rom was in the high 20s. Money that was to be spent on a JL Audio subwoofer. So the lack of bass in my household will be Romney's fault.
I asked this earlier, but you never answered. Are you still as confident on that bet as you were a week or so ago?
No one here has more riding on the outcome than jem. AK is copying from various sources, but jem is his own source, the "jem algo".
I missed it. I am not. How can I be with the digital going from 23 (pre-debate) to 37? Unfortunately for both of us the election hinges on Ohio and not turnout. I would run nothing but pro collective bargaining and auto-bailout ads if I were an Obama CA, but they haven't called for advice.
If Romney loses you were wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong ...I told you you were wrong the last 6 months and the first page of this thread .I told you Rasmussen was garbage and they will lose all of their credibility in 7 days You're still a cool cat though Jem
I put no real faith in the National digital, beyond my ability to hedge. I can layoff all my risk and lock a $12k return (beyond counterparty risk), so you can infer the unhedged notional risk. I am looking state by state and in reality it's all Ohio now. Ohio is everything. NV is not in play, nor is PA nor FL. I am only looking at Silver's blog and the payout on the OH digital. I do believe that Soros has been inactive in this election's digital, but no way to know. A loss will deplete my (hidden from wife) Wells Fargo slush/hooer/toy fund.