Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Apr 13, 2012.

  1. You're kidding, right? He isn't a good man? Com'on, that's a little over the top. And you're worried about his foreign policy plan. What has Obama done for us besides watch the ME blow up worse than it's ever been? Obama is the kind of guy who would be saying, can't we talk about this, as the enemy is shoving a bayonet through him.
     
    #2801     Oct 10, 2012
  2. Com'on, that's a little over the top. :p
     
    #2802     Oct 10, 2012
  3. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    So is four more years of Obama
    not for me it's not
    Could it be any worse than Obama's?
    Girly man pot head kicking ass? Not likely but anything is possible I suppose
    And Obama is a misguided narcissistic idiot who is in over his head.
    Because he wasn't a pot head, he doesn't consort with domestic terrorists or because he's more financially successful than you or I?
     
    #2803     Oct 10, 2012
  4. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    See, I think Obama isn't a good man - by any stretch of the imagination - and is far more dangerous. His administration has done as much damage in 4 years as Bush did in 8 on a whole host of topics important to me.
     
    #2804     Oct 10, 2012
  5. JamesL

    JamesL

    POLLSTER: I'm Not Polling Three Big Swing States Anymore, Because Mitt Romney Has Them In The Bag

    David Paleologos, the director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, dropped a bombshell on The O'Reilly Factor last night. He told Bill O'Reilly that the center would not be polling in the three key swing states of North Carolina, Florida and Virginia, because it would not be a prudent use of resources.

    Why? Because Paleologos said Republican nominee Mitt Romney has all three states in the bag.

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again," he said. "We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    "Let me stop you there. You're convinced that Florida, North Carolina and Virginia are going to go for Romney?" O'Reilly said, rather shell-shocked. That's probably because Obama still has a very slight edge in the Real Clear Politics average of Virginia polling, and because he trails by just 0.7 points and 3 points, respectively, in Florida and North Carolina.

    Paleologos explained that Obama was not in a good spot before his consensus loss in the debate, which has spiked Romney in polling ever since. Suffolk's poll found Obama up 46-44 in the state, and Paleologos said it would be difficult for Obama to climb to 50 percent now.

    Suffolk's recent poll of Florida before the debate found almost the same type of situation — Obama led only 46-43. Suffolk, however, has not yet polled North Carolina during the 2012 cycle.

    Paleologos said he doesn't see the effect in "lean Obama" states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin yet, though other polling agencies have found races tightening there.


    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/suff...nia-florida-nc-election-2012-10#ixzz28uPdyoSr
     
    #2805     Oct 10, 2012
  6. pspr

    pspr

    That's interesting. Here is a statement on the University website about this guys track record.

    Suffolk University Political Research Center director David Paleologos is the author of a leading predictor model that has a 96% record of accuracy in predicting outcomes.

    http://www.suffolk.edu/research/32761.html
     
    #2806     Oct 10, 2012
  7. jem

    jem

    http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/10/romney-up-huge-with-independents.html

    Fueling his current polling surge, Mitt Romney's numbers with indies are just getting remarkably good.

    a. IBD/ITP poll released today: Romney 52% Obama 34%.

    b. Pew poll, released yesterday: Romney 46% Obama 42%.

    c. Politico/GW poll, released yesterday: Romney 51% Obama 35%.

    d. CNN, released last week: Romney 49% Obama 41%.

    e. National Journal, released October 3: Romney 49% Obama 41%.

    Now having said that, Romney has done well this entire cycle with independents, but not enough to overcome turnout models that suggested much, much higher Democratic turnout.

    But now he's killing it so soundly that it's enough to overcome higher Democratic turnout. In fact, in ARG's poll of Ohio today, Dems are sampled at +9% over Republicans, but Romney wins indies by 20%, which is enough to inch ahead, overall, 48%-47%.
     
    #2807     Oct 10, 2012
  8. jem

    jem

    Great find.

    In other words... if you unskew the polls - Obama has no chance in those states....

    In fact if you unskew the polls.... in other words if you go with a close to even turnout in the swing states.... which is historically accurate for most of them, that is why they are swing states...

    That Romney is now killing it with Independents... means Romney is now killing it.

    Which is why the pollster is leaving.


     
    #2808     Oct 10, 2012
  9. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    So where is AK to tell us how wrong all these polls are? Did he pull a Ricter and create a new log in name?
     
    #2809     Oct 10, 2012
  10. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    Probably <s>hiding</s> drying his tears, the hard way.


    [​IMG]
     
    #2810     Oct 10, 2012