Gallup now says registered voters are split. So you you know that means Romney is in the lead with likely voters.. Romney will therefore crush it when more Rs turn out than Ds and he takes a large portion of the undecideds in each swing state. --- Romney Narrows Vote Gap After Historic Debate Win By record-high margin, debate watchers say Romney did better by Jeffrey M. Jones PRINCETON, NJ -- Registered voters' preferences for president are evenly split in the first three days of Gallup tracking since last Wednesday's presidential debate. In the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters. http://www.gallup.com/poll/157907/romney-narrows-vote-gap-historic-debate-win.aspx
Why he's falling apart http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/falling-article-1.1176348 A presidential reelection campaign needs three key elements: a defense of the incumbentâs record, a successful effort to define the opposition and a compelling vision of a second term. President Obama may well celebrate a second term in Chicago next month, but the conventional wisdom underestimates the difficulty he faces, as his campaign has distinct problems with all three elements. His defense of his record is exceptionally weak, his effort to define Mitt Romney is nearly exhausted, and his vision for the next four years â perhaps the most important â has been largely missing from his effort this year. Defense of the incumbentâs record Four years ago, Obama expressed great confidence that he would be running amid renewed prosperity; he famously told Matt Lauer, âOne nice thing about the situation I find myself in is that I will be held accountable. You know, Iâve got four years...If I donât have this done in three years, then thereâs going to be a one-term proposition.â In February 2009, even most Republicans would probably have predicted that by 2012, the country would be feeling much more prosperous, with much lower unemployment. Fridayâs jobs report brought much-needed good news, with the 114,000 new jobs in the payroll survey meeting economistsâ expectations and bringing unemployment down to 7.8% â but that was fueled by 582,000 part-time jobs. GDP growth is at a meager 1.3%, gasoline is averaging $3.78 per gallon nationally and the foreclosure rate is only slightly below 2011âs 17-year peak. Any fan of Obama who tells you he expected the country to be in this condition at this moment is either lying to you or lying to themselves. Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/falling-article-1.1176348#ixzz28iy4WZhd
GWU polls confirms what I have been telling you for months... with this mostly pre debate poll. The headline says Obama leads by one ... but in reality... Only 73 percent who support Obama say they are âextremely likelyâ to vote, compared to 86 percent who back Romney. Likewise, 84 percent of Republicans say they are extremely likely to vote, compared to 76 percent of Democrats. Among those extremely likely to vote, Romney actually leads Obama 52 percent to 46 percent. Thatâs up from a 2-point lead last week. Obama led 50 percent to 47 percent among this group three weeks ago. Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82122.html#ixzz28izMTNf3
I just did my own personal poll of an undecided voter (a good criend) in Ohio who has always voted. He is right leaning. I told him don't fuck up its up to Ohio and Florida to make the right decision. He is going to study up on the issues he said. He is still undecided at this time but still leaning Romney.
You are correct - he is hoping the economy growth will cover some of it. Again, I am not advocating the correct or incorrect nature of either of the candidate claims, I am only discussing the consistency.
Personally, I hope neither Obama nor Romney win the election, but one of them just may. I wonder if both parties could each replace their candidates right now, if they would do it.
at this stage, after that debate, I am switching from ABO to being pro Romney / Ryan. If the economy does not improve significantly under Romney / Ryan, its on me. I really believe he is going to work to cap spending and drop rates. Plus reversing Obamacare and big taxes; the economy should start to improve within a quarter.
yea especially since the economy has already turned up under obama. car sales are back, homes sales are back, the market is back. even jobs are turning. so much so that right wingers are accusing obama of manipulating the numbers.