Even the crazy slanted polls show Romney has a lead with independents. If you acknowledge that truth... Then you know Romney is winning right now. There is no way more Dems are going to turnout like they did in 2008...millions have left the Democrat party and become independents.
You really do not seem to get that I am saying polls only extrapolate what the vote might look like now... not 40 days in the future... Polls are not making predictions... they are sampling now. We could have a war between now and then... and that might chance the election. But based on what I am seeing with Independents in the states... it looks to me that Romney will win. The debates may change the Independent vote.
thanks to pspr for showing the jem balance algo has been picked up by the thinking people. you saw the balance algo here first... I know you lefty's were beating your heads against the wall and attempting to poke fun at it... but logic prevails. As will truth. ---- CBS/New York Times/Quinnipiac University released yesterday a series of polls of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania showing Obama leading by nine percent, 10 percent and nine percent in the three states respectively. But the samples used for these polls were skewed by eight to nine percent in favor of Democrats. When the data us unskewed for these polls, the result shows them tied or within the margin of error. That is far different than nearly double digit leads for Obama in all of them. A Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania released yesterday shows a similar level of being skewed. It reported an Obama lead of 52 percent to 43 percent using a sample that was skewed in favor of Democrats by 11 percent. This poll, unskewed, shows the race tied at 47 percent for each candidate in Pennsylvania. The Washington Post released, two days ago, polls of Florida and Ohio showing Obama leads of 51 percent 47 percent in Florida and 52 percent to 44 percent in Ohio. The Florida poll was skewed Democrats by four percent and the Ohio poll was skewed for Democrats by seven percent. Unskewed, the data from these polls indicated a 50 percent to 46 percent Romney lead in Florida and a 49 percent to 47 percent Romney lead in Ohio. These polls are being heavily reported in the mainstream media, resulting in the creation of a perception that President Obama has an insurmountable lead in these key swing states and therefore has the race for president all but won already. This perception is driving the analysis and reporting of the state of the presidential race. The perception almost entirely creates the conventional wisdom that is focused too much on whether one campaign or the other is employing successful tactics and strategy rather than informing the voters of what the agenda and policy proposals are for the candidates and how they intend to address the major issues of concern to the voters. http://www.examiner.com/article/mit...cid=db_articles
i wish he had the guts to run as a 3rd party. where is the old coot? havent heard a peep out of him since the convention.