Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Apr 13, 2012.

  1. The only polls that presume is Rasmussen and gallup.The goods polls report what voters tell them
     
    #2421     Sep 23, 2012
  2. [​IMG]



    [​IMG]




    [​IMG]
     
    #2422     Sep 23, 2012
  3. Still wondering about the Intrade numbers. You would think that Romney should get back to 40% or so.
     
    #2423     Sep 24, 2012
  4. Lucrum

    Lucrum

     
    #2424     Sep 24, 2012
  5. Yes, Lucrum, I see what you're saying about AK, which is fine. I'm just saying that it appears to be a cheap bet to make for Romney on Intrade.
     
    #2425     Sep 24, 2012
  6. jem

    jem

    From another thread which discussed that the GWU poll showed Romney ahead by a huge margin with the middle class...yet the poll sampled 49D - 45 R to show obama with a tiny lead...


    --

    that internal information is powerful.

    We have polls which show a good lead for Romney with Independents.
    We have this GWU poll which show the middle class is voting Romney.
    We have polls which show Obama has lost 10 to 15 percent of the Jewish vote.

    And we have articles which show there has been a mass exodus from the Dems since the 2008 election.

    Basically the only thing which keeps Obama in the lead is witchcraft by the pollsters.

    Basically the only people still voting Obama are hard democrats...

    If you ask 15 to 30 percent more of them than you should.. you can act like Obama is in the lead.

    Thesis...

    1. the polls are pretending we will have a 2008 turnout.
    2. the polls only have 8 percent of the people even participate in the polls.
    so of those 8 percent they get to over sample hard ass democrats.

    In reality the lack of bumper stickers show... no one is thrilled about this election but many people who voted Obama last time with either not vote or vote Romney.
     
    #2426     Sep 24, 2012
  7. OK, Jem, you got me. This mass exodus of Dem's will surely be the demise of the entire Obama administration. Just having some fun with the oversampling and within margin or error, and now bumper stickers. I'm screwed.

    Hurry AK, post another poll, please.

    Again, just having some fun, we all take this crap too seriously at times Jem.

    I don't happen to agree with Scat, that the end of the world will happen, from Either Outcome.
     
    #2427     Sep 24, 2012
  8. #2428     Sep 24, 2012
  9. #2429     Sep 24, 2012
  10. jem

    jem

    D 319 / R 292 / I 249

    so when making a nascar poll you skew it to include more dems and then conclude Nascar fans pick obama... thats like saying the french prefer california sparkling wine. You have to be an idiot to believe such a poll result is an accurate representation of reality.
     
    #2430     Sep 24, 2012