To anyone. What would be the reasoning to put your polling company's reputation at risk by intentionally skewing your polling numbers? Other than the same old biased media crap, does it make any sense? It would be like making crappy baby carriages for a certain group of the population, knowing full well that it would destroy your business.
that is a much more complex question. Sure they know how to manipulate their "random" samples... but I am not even getting that deep. For now I wanted to address the concept of matching the sample to the turnout of likely voters.
hell AK just like in other recent election your polls will all adjust their samples to balance a few days before the election and blame momentum and money and call it too close to call. so at that point will you admit - these are crooked samples?
of course... but with the defection from dems and the low dem enthusiasm... I am saying there is no way you will see a turnout like this generations 2008 highwater mark for dems... (absent a war in the ME) .
so you saw a 10 million swing up for Obama and 3 millions swing down for McCain. you think that will happen this time? Like I said I predict more Rs than Ds will vote this time.
the polls tightened up a bit more today... the ap poll tighted by 5 or 6 to now showing Obama is up by 1. Ras - Romney up 1 Gall - Obama up 1. ras also shows that Romney gained some good ground in some swing states.
still delusional: The current view of the 2012 presidential election. Barack Obama Mitt Romney 317 191 Electoral Votes Electoral Votes