rasmuessen was tied for first in the last presidential election. -- and again your point about previous polls is silly. if they were slanted for Obama and Obama won... of course they would look correct. My point is far more simple. Most polls show the Independents are going Romney. So how ill Obama win without a very larger D turnout... that is all we need to know.
Here is Intrade 2010 Dems to control the Senate was always over 50 From July until election day Intrade had Republicans taking the House over 50
Let me say it again... If most polls show Independents are leaning Romney... how will obama win without a very strong Dem turnout. What turnout are you predicting AK.... 2010, 2008? what
The results you are referring to was a comparison of final polls and Rasmussen was only judged on 1 of their polls not multiple polls If Rasmussen had been judged on multiple 2008 polls you would notice that just like todays polls Rasmussen often had The Republican ahead or tied when most of the other polls had Obama winning
Maybe there is "Hope" for a "Change" in the White House after all. I know I'd like to move "Forward".
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/08/cnn-poll-obama-expands-lead.php August 9, 2012 âAmong independent voters, the poll indicates President Obama has a 53%-42% lead,â CNN Polling Director Keating Holland told CNN.com. âThe president holds a nine point advantage among women voters and a smaller six point edge among men.â http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/09/fox-news-poll-obama-lead-grows-as-romney-support-slips/ Published August 10, 2012 FoxNews.com Obamaâs advantage comes largely from increased support among independents, who now pick him over Romney by 11 percentage points. Some 30 percent of independents are undecided. Last month, Obama had a four-point edge among independents, while Romney had the advantage from April through early June. Independents are twice as likely to say they are comfortable with Obama (33 percent) than with Romney (16 percent) as president.
With 47% of the country dumber than a proboscis monkey, it is going to be a battle. I'm still waiting to see what the Obama manufactured event/crisis is going to be that supposedly will unite the country behind him in October. A failed (staged) assassination attempt would probably do it.
look at the recent post ryan polls. nyt cbs polls from 9/12. Independents - Romney 50 - Obama 44. http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/14/poll-obama-holds-narrow-edge-over-romney/
jem the polls I posted were within days of the one you posted and both showed Obama leading with independents