Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Apr 13, 2012.

  1. The polls are using the same methodology that they used in the past .Republicans need something to give them hope the next 2 months
     
    #2291     Sep 18, 2012
  2. no wonder you failed at trading. it is common practice that after someone buys a hot stock and it starts going down they will look for anything to keep them from accepting the fact that they were wrong.
    they will look for every analyst that has a buy rating and look for every article profiling their falling stock as the future of technology.
    this type of rookie thinking will cause them to hold onto a losing stock until they lose 50-60% of their investment.
     
    #2292     Sep 18, 2012
  3. BSAM

    BSAM

    Are any of my ET brethren licensed for counseling?
    If so, I would ask that you open a new thread on November 7-2012 to assist those who will be in need.
    We have members from either side (you know who you are) who could use your help.
    I won't need any help myself, as my candidate, Ron Paul, has already been eliminated and I'm over it.
    Thanks to any ET brethren for your considerations for the new thread.
    I don't want to see anyone break down over something as stupid as Obama vs Romney.
     
    #2293     Sep 18, 2012
  4. pspr

    pspr

    It's all skewed for Obama, jem. Up isn't up anymore and down isn't down. Here is another site that makes a correction to the slanted polling.

    http://www.unskewedpolls.com/
     
    #2294     Sep 18, 2012
  5. jem

    jem

    failed at trading...

    I kicked ass and made a lot of money for someone who started with a small account. I had five over 100 percent years in a row.

    Then when the nyse changed the rules and vol died... I was unwilling to risk the money I had to try and continue to make 100 percent returns.

    20 percent returns were not enough for me to live on..
     
    #2295     Sep 18, 2012
  6. jem

    jem

    and if so that methodology did not work in 2010.

    what happens is that the polls start playing straight in the last few days before the election, call it a momentum swing based on money.
     
    #2296     Sep 18, 2012
  7. lol yes, the digital on Romney to win dropped 2 overnight.

    [​IMG]
     
    #2297     Sep 18, 2012
  8. jem

    jem

    what we know...

    in most polls Independents lean to Romney.

    therefore... you have to ask are we expecting Ds to turnout like the did in 2008, or lower like they did 2010 or even lower.

    We know Rs are motivated to turnout at least at 2010 levels.

    ---

    everything I just said is undeniable...

    conclusion.. I will leave that for you.
     
    #2298     Sep 18, 2012
  9. Come on. They are polling the Choir. They are a NeoCon hit outfit!
     
    #2299     Sep 18, 2012
  10. The worst poll in 2010 was Rasmussen





    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/



    Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate




    Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.

    On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.


    The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.
     
    #2300     Sep 18, 2012