Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Apr 13, 2012.

  1. jem

    jem

    jem honest polls.


    Rasmussen Romeny +1
    Gallup Romney +2
     
    #1941     Aug 20, 2012
  2. jem

    jem

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...en_mainstream_america_and_official_washington

    One of the things Mitt Romney's selection of Paul Ryan as his running mate ensures is a series of polling questions over the coming months asking voters what's more important: creating jobs or cutting government spending; helping the economy or cutting deficits; repealing the president's health care law or focusing on the economy.

    These questions reflect the way official Washington views the world, but they don't make sense in Mainstream America. In Washington, it's a given that more government spending is needed to help the economy. Most Americans hold the opposite view. So when you ask whether cutting spending or helping the economy is more important, the question doesn't make sense. For most Mainstream voters, one leads to the other.

    To gain a sense of how strong this belief is, consider the fact that voters are fairly evenly divided when asked whether they fear the government will do too much or too little to help the economy. At Rasmussen Reports, we asked those who wanted more government intervention what they would like the government to do. Most said cut spending. Overall, 66 percent of voters believe that the best thing the government can do for the economy is to cut spending.

    The same dynamic exists when it comes to repeal of the national health care law. Rather than being seen as a diversion from talking about the economy, 43 percent believe repeal would help the economy. Just 27 percent think it would hurt. That's part of the reason most voters consistently support repeal. So, once again, it's not a choice between repealing the health care law and focusing on the economy. They're part of the same plan.

    But the gap between the Political Class and Mainstream America doesn't end there. In Washington and on the campaign trail, Ryan is presented as either a serious budget hawk or a budgetary extremist, depending on who's doing the talking. Yet fewer than half the nation's voters believe government spending will go down even if Romney wins and Republicans gain full control of Congress. That was true before Ryan was selected, and it's true after.

    So while voters think spending cuts are what the economy needs, they don't expec.....
     
    #1942     Aug 20, 2012
  3. jem

    jem

    New post Ryan poll Monmouth U.

    demos.. D 33 / R 27 / I 40.

    result... Obama is only plus 1.

    So once again the thesis... in balanced poll Romney is winning.
     
    #1943     Aug 20, 2012
  4. Come on AK, time for another reality check.

    I do think it's going to be close, always have, but if the Rep's keep eating their young, ala Akin and crew, well, it just gets easier.
     
    #1944     Aug 20, 2012
  5. jem

    jem

    Jem Honest polls

    no change in the post Ryan national polling.

    3 polls.

    Ras - Romney plus 1
    Gallup Romney plus 2
    GWU adjusted to balance... Romney up about 2.


     
    #1945     Aug 21, 2012
  6. I can't get the actual charts to post correctly, come on AK?

    I see about 2.5 + for Obama as of last night. And Intrade still at 15% plus for Obama.

    Jem, check what I proposed on another thread.
     
    #1946     Aug 21, 2012
  7. jem

    jem

    you are right ..

    new poll

    NBC... 45 D / 39 R / 13 I of registered voters... obama plus 2.

    so when put into the JEM honest poll model Romney leads by about 3 or 4. Then when you switch to likely voter.. you get Romney up 6.
     
    #1947     Aug 21, 2012
  8. New poll from NBC/WSJ,one of the top 3 pollsters.Pew and intrade being the other 2

    Obama +4


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    In 2008 NBC/WSJ had Obama ahead of McCain in every one of their polls from March to election day while Rasmussen often had McCain ahead of Obama.




    NBC/WSJ 2008 presidential polls

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    So far all 2012 NBC /WSJ polls have had Obama ahead
     
    #1948     Aug 21, 2012
  9. Thanks AK! I quoted just to help JEM see the light twice.
     
    #1949     Aug 21, 2012
  10. pspr

    pspr

    LOL Old and bad polls don't make it so.
     
    #1950     Aug 21, 2012