Some polls already use likely voters jem http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/...battleground-states-poll-shows-103942709.html Obama leads Romney in three battleground states, new poll shows President Barack Obama holds an edge over Mitt Romney in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll out Wednesday shows. When likely voters in the three battleground states were asked whom they would vote for if the election were held today, here's the way it broke down: Florida: Obama, 51 percent; Romney, 45 percent. Ohio: Obama, 50 percent; Romney 44 percent Pennsylvania: Obama, 53 percent; Romney 42 percent No one has won the White House since 1960 without winning at least two of the states. Obama won all three in 2008. Support for Obama's proposal to increase taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year is 58 to 37 percent in Florida, 60 to 37 percent in Ohio and 62 to 34 percent in Pennsylvania, the survey finds. Obama is expected to focus on his tax proposal Wednesday during campaign stops in Ohio. "If today were Nov. 6, President Barack Obama would sweep the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania and â if history is any guide â into a second term in the Oval Office," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The president is running better in the key swing states than he is nationally. Part of the reason may be that the unemployment rate in Ohio is well below the national average. In Florida it has been dropping over the past year, while nationally that has not been the case." The polls were conducted by telephone from July 24-July 30 among 1,177 likely voters in Florida, 1,193 likely voters in Ohio and 1,168 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.9 percentage points in Florida and Pennsylvania and 2.8 percentage points in Ohio.
Since you are citing polls which are D plus 7 to 11. I created a poll with R over sampled by 10. The jem reverse balance poll. Romney leads plus 15.
8 polls in this chart are from likely voters jem,Obama is winning 5 of them.2 of the likely voter polls Romney is winning is from Rasmussen
what were the sample sizes? no way Romney is down in Florida like that in a real poll. That is one big b.s. poll.
It was one big b.s. poll... just as I predicted. the Quinnipiac poll you just cited for the swing states... is skewed by 9 to Dems. http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/...-103942709.html here is the sample of likely voters D 35 R 27 I 32. -- guess what Florida has Rassmusen has Romney by 1 and calls it a toss up. That is the difference shit poll and an honest poll.
Rasmussen swing state and national polls don't have Romney winning by 15 jem and they are as biased towards republcans as you can get Romney +2 Rasmussen- Obama + 4 Rasmussen- Obama + 6 Rasmussen- Obama + 3 Rasmussen- Obama + 5 Rasmussen- Obama + 2 Rasmussen- Obama + 1
exactly my point... honest polls have a evenly split electorate. In my poll when I give Romney the same boost your crap polls give Obama... Romney goes up by 12 to 15. you are like hey no way... Romney cant' be up by 15... your sample is off... but, then you turn around and post.... that CBS quinnipiac poll and other polls that have Dems over sampled by 9 and even 11 points. Plus 9 Dems by CBS and quinnipiac is as fraudulent as a jem plus 9 R balance poll. if you object to plus 9 R... you must object to plus 9 Dem.
You're in denial jem.Even when Rasmussen shows Obama winning on a electoral basis you cant accept it.