http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...tacks-working/2012/06/27/gJQAv6746V_blog.html Poll suggests Obama swing state attacks working Posted by Rachel Weiner at 01:05 PM ET, 06/27/2012 A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll out Wednesday suggests that in key swing states, President Obamaâs ad campaigns against former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney are working. While nationally the two rivals are locked in a dead heat, in 12 expected battleground states â Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin â Obama leads by eight points in the survey.
New Swing State Polls Show Advantage for Obama By Napp Nazworth , Christian Post Reporter June 27, 2012|4:21 pm New polls show President Barack Obama leading over Republican rival Mitt Romney in four states that could determine the outcome of the 2012 presidential race. Obama's strong showing comes despite evidence that his recent immigration decision hurt him with voters. Quinnipiac University's swing state poll shows Obama leading in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, though in Florida the results are within the margin of error. A new Old Dominion University/Virginian-Pilot poll shows Obama leading in Virginia. "President Barack Obama has decent margins over Gov. Mitt Romney in Ohio and Pennsylvania and a smaller advantage in Florida. If he can keep those leads in all three of these key swing states through election day he would be virtually assured of re-election," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement. Obama leads Romney 45 to 41 percent in Florida, 47 to 38 in Ohio, 45 to 39 percent in Pennsylvania and 49 to 42 percent in Virginia.
those states are far closer... http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...our_states/election_2012_the_core_four_states New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying of Likely Voters in the so-called Core Four states finds that Obama picks up 46% support to Romneyâs 43%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
what a bunch of silly logic. you have basically 10 very close polls, many within the margin for error and most of which over sample dems by big margins. You have one crazy poll. counting the same thing 11 times does not change the facts.
I'll point out Rasmussens record in state polls http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/ Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters. On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports â which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News â badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates. The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEightâs database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.