Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Apr 13, 2012.

  1. Ricter

    Ricter

    You are relying on polling data to refute the value of polling data.
     
    #1271     Jun 12, 2012
  2. 1.Thats a poll,not actual voter registration

    2.Even that poll has dems +2

    Actual voter registration from many states in 2012 have more dems.


    Again,this is actual 2012 voter registration not polls






    http://elkodaily.com/democrats-outp...cle_a53e09de-a78b-11e1-ae8e-001a4bcf887a.html




    Democrats outpace GOP in voter registrations


    CARSON CITY (AP) — Nevada Democrats outpaced Republicans in new voter registrations leading up to the state primary.

    The secretary of state's office Friday reports that from May 1 through May 22 when primary registration closed, Democrats registered 4,322 active voters, compared with 2,254 registered by Republicans. The number of active registered nonpartisans increased by 2,544 during the same time period.

    Statewide, Democrats now hold a 38,792 voter advantage over Republicans. But the gap is far less than the 100,000 voter edge Democrats had going into the 2008 general election.







    http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/state/gop-closes-in-on-democrats-in-florida-voter-2107649.html

    Jan. 17, 2012


    Figures released by the Division of Elections today show Florida has 11.2 million voters, with 40.5 percent registered as Democrats and about 36.2 percent as Republicans. The gap of 4.3 percentage points between Democratic and Republican registrations compares to a 5.8-point gap that favored Democrats heading into the 2008 presidential election.







    http://www.pagop.org/2012/01/as-parties-lose-voters-republicans-chip-away-at-democrats-advantage/


    Pennsylvania-January 20th, 2012


    In November 2006, Democrats held a roughly 600,000-voter edge with 3.9 million registered voters to the Republicans’ 3.3 million. The number now stands at 4.1 million Democrats to 3 million Republicans.

    The 2012 election will come down to turnout, he said. With a margin that still tops 1.1 million,
    Democrats have a huge advantage if they can motivate those voters to show up at the polls. But by narrowing that advantage, Republicans put more pressure on the turnout effort, he said.
     
    #1272     Jun 12, 2012
  3. Obama currently leading 6 out of 7 polls


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    #1273     Jun 12, 2012
  4. Yannis

    Yannis

    The majority of the detail in these polls is just plain useless. Trends are good, but details are too fuzzy.

    If by any miracle O manages to stay close to R and not drop by a lot by the time elections get here, which is doubtful, R wins because the undecideds will, as always, vote against the incumbent president, O. After all, they know O well, and if they are undecided still, it's for a reason... like not wanting to admit their opposition because of the lengths that liberal media went to brand everyone who opposes Obama a racist.
     
    #1274     Jun 12, 2012
  5. I guess thats why presidential incumbents lose so often...ohh wait
     
    #1275     Jun 12, 2012
  6. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    They don't do all that hot when the economy is in shambles.
     
    #1276     Jun 12, 2012
  7. jem

    jem

    ak - logically polls are more accurate than stale voter rolls if the polls are done properly. .

    richter - your riddles are weak. a recent poll if done correctly can be far more accurate than years old voter rolls.

    My argument with some of the current polls is the fact they are over representing dems in the sample size. By 7-11 points.

    so if the polls show more repubs than dems or an even amount... than the polls are validating my thesis about the polls over sampling dems in polls.



     
    #1277     Jun 12, 2012
  8. For those unaware elected presidents win re re election 74 % of the time

    Presidents during a time of war won re election 100 % of the time
     
    #1278     Jun 12, 2012
  9. Max E.

    Max E.

    And presidents with unemployment over 8% never win, one of these stats is going to be broken.....


     
    #1279     Jun 12, 2012
  10. Not true.FDR won re election with 17 % unemployment
     
    #1280     Jun 12, 2012