Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Apr 13, 2012.

  1. jem

    jem

    we must be looking at a different rcp recap... the one I am looking at had barrett in the lead by 3 on PPD and trailing by 2 with marquette.... around the end of march.

    So that would have meant the much touted by you "RCP average" would have had Barrett up by 1 at the end of march.
     
    #1231     Jun 6, 2012


  2. before Rasmuessen started polling it looked like this jem


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    Walker winning 5 out of 7 polls

    Walker biggest leads + 5 and + 6



    Barret winning 2 out of 7 polls

    Barrets biggest leads + 1 and +3



    You interpret that as Barret winning ?
     
    #1232     Jun 6, 2012
  3. Yes they're give-aways when historically they were higher, especially for the wealthy.

    "Those Sobs include recipients of corporate welfare and able bodied recipients of govt welfare. Many of whom don't work because democrats have :incentivised" them not to work... in order to make more dem voters. "

    You mean those welfare cheaters who represent perhaps 1% of the budget ? The corporate welfare is a far higher amount I'll bet, once all things considered.
     
    #1233     Jun 6, 2012
  4. jem

    jem

    1. this is comedy.... you used marquette and ppd 3 times each... didn't you tell me I could not use rasmuessen more than once when I was making my tally for romney v obama.

    2. and Marquette had walker plus one the end of april. Its possible the electorate really swung... but I would like to see the sample sizes and breakdowns.
    Lets look to see if they were playing with sample size.



     
    #1234     Jun 6, 2012
  5. 1.They were 3 separate polls from 3 separate months, not a daily tracking poll being used 3 times in 1 month

    2. Marquette had walker plus one at the end of april .2 weeks before daily kos had walker + 5 and 2 weeks after Rasmussen had walker +5.Three polls in one month all 3 have walker winning ,paints a clear picture who is winning right ? Kind of like this....



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    #1235     Jun 6, 2012
  6. jem

    jem

    Rasmussen Tracking 6/4 - 6/6 1500 LV 46 46 Tie
    Gallup Tracking 5/30 - 6/5 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
    CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
    Pew Research 5/9 - 6/3 2388 RV 49 42 Obama +7
    ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
    NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
    Rasmussen Reports 5/14 - 5/16 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
    Gallup 5/11 - 5/17 3050 RV 45 46 Romney +1
    FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
    IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
    Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
    CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
    Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1
    Gallup 5/3 - 5/9 3000 RV 44 47 Romney +3
     
    #1236     Jun 7, 2012
  7. You always stop your polls where you don't include those 2 polls that have Obama +7 and + 8 :D


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    #1237     Jun 7, 2012
  8. Obama leading 9 out of the last 15

    Obama leading 3 polls by +7 and 1 poll by +8

    Romneys biggest lead is +3

    Obama leading most of the recent polls including 5 of the last 6 with the other a tie


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    #1238     Jun 7, 2012
  9. Brass

    Brass

    AK, your efforts are admirable, but why bother? They're in dreamland and will continue to be until they get their wakeup call on November 6, at which time they'll cough, hark, snort and swear up a storm. But until that time, reality is just an annoying nuisance that they can turn off with their imagination. Their ideologies are faith-based and their reality is delirium-induced.

    If you want to have some real fun, be sure to bookmark all the good stuff they write and save it for November 7.
     
    #1239     Jun 7, 2012
  10. jem

    jem

    The jem top 14 seems a bit contrived?


     
    #1240     Jun 7, 2012