Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Apr 13, 2012.

  1. jem

    jem

    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney picking up 47% of the vote, while President Obama attracts 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

    These figures include 40% who are certain they will vote for Romney. Another seven percent (7%) plan to vote for Romney but could change their minds. For Obama, the figures are 36% certain and eight percent (8%) likely. Eighty-six percent (86%) of seniors are certain of their choice, along with just 64% of those under 30.

    Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

    Support for the president has stayed between 44% and 46% every day for the past two weeks. During most of that time, support for Romney was generally at either 44% or 45%. However, in the past several days, support for the GOP hopeful has inched up a bit. See tracking history.
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/reply.php?action=newreply&threadid=240772


    note ---
    for that rcp composite to be useful, should it be tracking the same polls. Or only the 5 most recent. Otherwise it seems to be mixing and matching to get obama a lead.
     
    #1161     Jun 4, 2012
  2. jem

    jem

    They certainly will try. We all ready saw republicans corrupted as neo cons.
    I am sort of hoping the conservative / libertarian wing has some principles and it gets elected in force.
     
    #1162     Jun 4, 2012
  3. jem

    jem

    #1163     Jun 5, 2012
  4. jem

    jem

    #1164     Jun 5, 2012
  5. jem

    jem

    Intrade - down to 53.4% chance obama to be elected.
     
    #1165     Jun 5, 2012
  6. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    Maybe there is still "hope" for us after all.
     
    #1166     Jun 5, 2012
  7. Beginning of June 08 the winner (Obama )was around 52- 53 on intrade


    At the beginning of June 04 the winner (Bush) was around 56 on intrade


    Beginning of June 2012 Obama at 53
     
    #1167     Jun 5, 2012
  8. Obama is around the same place Bush was in the beginning June 04 on intrade

    Romney is around the same place Kerry was in the beginning of June 04 on intrade






    [​IMG]
     
    #1168     Jun 5, 2012
  9. Obama currently winning 4 out of 5 of RCP's most recent polls
     
    #1169     Jun 5, 2012
  10. jem

    jem

    Romney winning 7 out of 13 of RCPs most recent polls.. polls which mostly over sample democrats by huge margins for dubious reasons... since polls now identify that there are more republicans than democrats.



    Rasmussen Tracking 6/2 - 6/4 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
    Gallup Tracking 5/28 - 6/4 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
    CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
    ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
    NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
    Rasmussen Reports 5/14 - 5/16 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
    Gallup 5/11 - 5/17 3050 RV 45 46 Romney +1
    FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
    IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
    Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
    CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
    Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1
    Gallup 5/3 - 5/9 3000 RV 44 47 Romney +3
     
    #1170     Jun 5, 2012