I see Obama adds all the time on TV here in Texas. I don't know why they are wasting the money here. Texas will not go for Obama no matter how many adds he puts on TV here.
as you start to understand polling.. you realize to predict victory all you have to do is predict turnout and sample independents... why? because similar precentage of Rs and Ds vote with their party... normally. its like 93 percent. So with Is... Romney is ahead or tied... so what you are saying is you think more Ds. will show up than Rs. I do not think so.