Of course it's all roses in Obama's eyes. But higher gas prices are going to choke off the economy. Doesn't matter what Obama says. Higher gas prices are felt immediately by the voter. You don't even have to wait for your employer to lay you off to know you've got a problem.
Actually, the one with the most representative sample wins, which is the objective of using a large enough sample. However, if your sample selection process is skewed because it is not properly weighted, intentionally or otherwise, then size alone will not help much.
As many say, Romney is such a moderate, he's tolerable to most democrats. It's Santorum or Gingrich that would cause some turmoil. And, of course, Ron Paul, who I like, won't make it through. IMO. c
But what's the point? Even if Romney is the most palatable Republican candidate to most Democrats, do you think they will actually jump ship and vote for him over Obama? Since I don't think they will, I find it a fairly moot point in my opinion. The question is, who will appeal to more independent voters than any other Republican candidate, since I think the Reps and Dems have fairly dug in their heels. And I'm guessing the answer is Romney. So via different avenues, we arrive at the same top Republican candidate among those running. But I still think Obama will win. So we're back to that moot point thing again.
I still think Obama will win, he hasn't truly bothered campaigning yet, although many think that's all he does, I don't. I'm pretty sure he'll have 4 more years to, hopefully, finish what he has started. The good things, of course. Romney, although palatable sort of, is not someone who can really rally up much favor from his own party even. c
Obama will release fuel from the strategic reserve this summer and gas prices will decrease...about 1¢ per gallon. Otoh the last time gasoline prices spiked up like this so much demand was destroyed that prices really tanked at a later point and stayed low for quite some time. Demand is being destroyed right now which I suspect is what Obama-Chu really wants in order to serve their carbon emission reduction ideology. Either way I see a chance for a republican win in the fall. The democrats would have us believe that a senate majority is out of reach but I'm reasonably sure that is just more propaganda as well. We could have a super-majority and roll back most of Obama's executive folly. The Obamacare ruling coming up in the SCOTUS looks favorable for republicans as it is clear that Kagan *must* recuse herself and equally clear that Thomas need not recuse himself. I'm hoping that one goes our way as well. I don't think I will pay some other people's healthcare anymore than I'm going to pay for their contraception. In America you have the opportunity to pull yourself up and also the opportunity to sit around and do nothing. Just don't expect the working folks to pay for those who wish to sit around doing nothing.
The GOP has forgotten how formidable a speaker he is. They were silent for days after the last SOTU. Obama is going to make Mittens look just stupid. The only people who will vote for Mittens is the ABO crowd. But as I said before, even if Obama loses, Mittens aint that bad, which is actually disappointing personally. I want to really see where this country is at. I want a Santorum up there, so he can be crushed, and these social conservative idiots can finally go away, for good.
I was reading an article that thought it was going to be tougher to get the Senate after the announcement by Snow that she is retiring. It looks like it may go one way or the other by about 1 seat. It will depend upon how strong the Romney win is and how big the coat tails. If SCOTUS knocks down ObamaCare the Dems are going to run on introducing new legislation. If the election is a referendum on ObamaCare, the economy and high gas prices Obama is toast. The big question is, will gas prices stay high or go higher after July and will the economy falter again this summer. We already know ObamaCare is going to be an issue either way SCOTUS rules. But, if I am correct in believing the country has had enough of Obama and his radical ideas those issues will just be icing on the cake to blow the Demcraps right out of the water in November. One other wild card is the third party runs. One group plans to bring a big name Republican with a big name Democrat on one ticket. They could pull a few percent from one side or the other and screw the whole process up. I'm still pissed about Clinton winning two terms without ever getting a majority.
It will be pleasant watching the righties cry when Obama wins. For the radical Christians it'll be a great weeping and gnashing of teeth. I sure hope he wins.
You keep on attacking conservatives based on Santorum, and what you have said, about wanting to see social conservatism on trial is actually a line that Lawrence Odonnell has been pushing. I am not going to say that you are "copying" ODonell, as we have been able to have civil discourse tonight, but i will say this. Mitt Romney is not a social conservative, nor is he a small government conservative,(though he is pretending to be about small government) and everyone knows that. So if Santorum was in any way representative of the republican party as a whole, why is it that he cant gain any traction even though Romney is one of the most unpopular republicans in history? If Santorum, and his craziness was an accurate representation of where Republicans stand overall, then why is it he cant even beat a moderate like Mitt Romney, who republicans dont even like, and the tea party hates? There is a much larger number of (libertarians) socially liberal, fiscally conservative people like myself than you guys want to admit. The fact is most people on the right these days care much more about the size/scope of government, than any of these social issues, and the media is the one who is painting the false narrative that somehow a nut like Santorum represents the entire party. You are pretending Santorum is representative of the party, when really the only person i can think of who is that far out on this site is Peil.