The facts are the facts. Studies have shown Rasmussen to be the most accurate pollster, bottom line. You can pretend that Obama, a confessed cocaine user, has this thing locked up, but the polls are not showing that. You got your ass smoked.
but you do not get the point of a poll. it is not a prediction...it is to say what would happen if the vote were the day of the poll. McCain may have been was up until he blew it during the wall street crisis. Remember Palin was kind of hot for a while.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/ Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters. On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports â which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News â badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates. The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEightâs database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.
How many studies ? I know of only the one you posted that only included the the final day of national polling and does not include the many times they had McCain ahead or the fact that while their final national poll did well their final state polls did very poorly having McCain ahead or tied in many states that Obama won
2004 In the 2004 presidential election, "Rasmussen...beat most of their human competitors in the battleground states, often by large margins," according to Slate magazine. Rasmussen projected the 2004 presidential results within one percentage point of the actual vote totals earned by both George W. Bush and John Kerry. In 2004, Slate said they âpublicly doubted and privately derided Rasmussenâ polls because of the methodology. However, after the election, they concluded that Rasmussenâs polls were the most accurate. 2008 An initial Nov.5, 2008 Fordham University analysis ranked 23 survey research organizations on the accuracy of their final, national pre-election polls, assuming a 6.15% margin of victory by Obama. Rasmussen Reports and Pew Research Center tied as the most accurate. Just because you don't like the results of a poll doesnt mean its not accurate. Now go get me a cheeseburger and a large fry.
You do know the Presidential elections are not decided by national vote and state polling is much more important right ? They would not have won any awards if EC polls were rated
Rasmussen seems to be the poll to guage others by. Until shown otherwise, I don't see giving any other pollster more credibility.
Ooh rah!!!!!! http://news.yahoo.com/obama-wins-fla-topping-romney-final-tally-175200615--election.html Obama wins Florida ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) â President Barack Obama was declared the winner of Florida's 29 electoral votes Saturday, ending a four-day count with a razor-thin margin that narrowly avoided an automatic recount that would have brought back memories of 2000. No matter the outcome, Obama had already clinched re-election and now has 332 electoral votes to Romney's 206. The Florida Secretary of State's Office said that with almost 100 percent of the vote counted, Obama led Republican challenger Mitt Romney 50 percent to 49.1 percent, a difference of about 74,000 votes. That was over the half-percent margin where a computer recount would have been automatically ordered unless Romney had waived it.