Robust Econometric Predictive System Projects a Romney Victory

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Ripley, Sep 25, 2012.

  1. OH and FL are still in play. As long as those two states are in play, the race is wide open with 40 or so days to go.
     
    #31     Sep 25, 2012

  2. http://www.gallup.com/poll/157547/democratic-enthusiasm-swells-swing-states-nationally.aspx

    September 20, 2012


    Democratic Enthusiasm Swells in the Swing States, Nationally



    Voter enthusiasm in these states has grown among members of both political parties; however, Democrats' level has increased more. Thus, whereas equal percentages of Democrats and Republicans were enthusiastic in June, Democrats are now significantly more enthusiastic than Republicans, 73% vs. 64%.


    Gallup finds a similar pattern among voters nationwide. Overall, 55% of U.S. registered voters in the latest poll are either extremely or very enthusiastic about voting in this fall's election, up from 43% in June. This includes a 19-percentage-point increase among Democrats and roughly 10-point increases among independents and Republicans.
     
    #32     Sep 25, 2012
  3. That used to be the case when VA and NC were reliably red states and Pennsylvania was in play


    I dont even think Ohio is in play


    [​IMG]
     
    #33     Sep 25, 2012
  4. I like Romney's chances with the debates to go. He is this close with 40 or so days left and debates yet to come and where the economy is where its at, is a good place to be.
     
    #34     Sep 25, 2012
  5. Well, since you were the only one of us who got the ACA ruling right, this is good news AK. You are officially the statistician for the Progressives here at ET:D
     
    #35     Sep 25, 2012
  6. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    Not here in ATL they haven't as demonstrated by a recent 3 - 1 vote that the polls indicated was going to be close.
     
    #36     Sep 25, 2012
  7. :D :D :D
     
    #37     Sep 25, 2012
  8. 3-1 vote about what ?
     
    #38     Sep 25, 2012
  9. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    #39     Sep 25, 2012


  10. Not the same as a political election or presidential election polling imo but AJC said polls predicted it would fail



    http://www.ajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/voters-reject-transportation-tax/nQXfq/


    Voter revolt

    The metro Atlanta result was no surprise to independent pollsters who in recent weeks predicted an overwhelming loss, fueled by citizens' distrust of government and the metro area's splintered transportation desires.
     
    #40     Sep 25, 2012