RM's occasional market calls...

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Rearden Metal, Nov 8, 2010.

  1. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    I should have mentioned earlier, but the ZSL is making a dragon pattern (for those who doesn't know, I have a thread on it).

    The height was about 4 points and the Failure happened (daily chart I am talking about) at the SMA 9 line around 13.8, so the predicted 3rd bottom is 13.8-4 = 9.8

    Currently 11.24, so if it goes another 50 cent lower or more you can try another silver short/ZSL long....

    [​IMG]
     
    #171     Dec 4, 2010
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    10.65ish, getting there.... :)

    Now that 9.8 isn't written in gold, I mean in silver, so it could be a +/- 50 cents range....
     
    #172     Dec 6, 2010
  3. Nice call there, champ. :D
     
    #173     Dec 7, 2010
  4. moo

    moo

    I will be surprised if RM is not shorting anything and everything into this crazy tax cut deal mania. I sure am (though not silver nor gold).


    EDIT: Should be shorting gold too. After all, see who's on the other side...

    Jim Cramer
    GOLD
    12/7/2010 4:23 AM EST

    I would be buying gold in anticipation of the buying here being done in the GLD by those who think this budget deal is wildly inflationary....
     
    #174     Dec 7, 2010
  5. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    I only have delayed quotes for ZSL but we are around 10.25 so we already reached the predicted target zone.

    RM, you can start to build your silver short position. (long ZSL)
     
    #175     Dec 7, 2010
  6. ddlee

    ddlee

    Bulls showing some resilience have patience
     
    #176     Dec 7, 2010
  7. *This post does NOT count as a market call, since I didn't call out my entry points, nor will I call out my exit points. The following is an 'off the scoreboard' post.*

    Actually, I'm positioned the other way- LONG- both in stocks (BGU) and silver (AGQ), which has been working fine so far. I didn't call out my entry points because I wasn't as confident (or as sized up) as the previous trades that appear on this thread. To those of you looking to short metals or stocks right here, just FYI I don't think that's such a good idea. (I could always be wrong, though.)

    SPY: $123.37
    SLV: $29.48
     
    #177     Dec 7, 2010
  8. your update is appreciated.

    i thought "RM" stands for reversion-to-mean, but i guess i was wrong :)
     
    #178     Dec 7, 2010
  9. moo

    moo

    I am surprised! But it's fine, you are allowed other trades than these public calls. :D
     
    #179     Dec 7, 2010
  10. I'd much rather post 15 successful calls in a row here with no losers, than post 75 winners and 25 losers.

    The latter might be more helpful/profitable for those who act on my calls, but the former leaves a more impressive public record IMO, and is much less work for me to do (less stress too). That's how I see it anyways. Trade on...
     
    #180     Dec 7, 2010