riskarb's trading journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by riskarb, May 13, 2006.

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  1. Paid 62 average on 500: ($770,000)
    Cover of 1175 no touch: Sold $3.6mm

    +$570,000

    I would've held-fast, but the vols have plummeted, and only $400k to work with on hedge. There isn't any significant convergence on the exotic from here if we rally.
     
    #601     Jun 15, 2006
  2. The guy that sold you the no touch must be pretty pissed off today...:)
     
    #602     Jun 15, 2006
  3. They've been calling me all week to lay-off bull bets. Fcuk them.
     
    #603     Jun 15, 2006
  4. Paging Mr.Freesbee for public whipping.
     
    #604     Jun 15, 2006
  5. SPX double barrier: 1215//1290

    SPX double: 1210//1290
    Premium: $478,000
    Payout: $1,000,000 [includes prem paid]
    Expires: June 29, 2006
    Negative edge: a lot
    Strike/barrier volatility: blended
    Initial Hedge: NA
    Symmetrical hedge: NA
    Vol edge/atm: NA


    Looking to give back recent gains asap. j/k. Typical weekend decay-play. Looking for a cover at $650k next week. No risk on 1290 cash, and the vols are still well-bid on the 10-20d put-strikes.
     
    #605     Jun 15, 2006
  6. Not interested in posting the PnL here, but traded size in the GOOG 390 [6.00] and CME 450 [6.30] straddles, short June into expiration. Not recommended. =)
     
    #606     Jun 15, 2006
  7. stereo70

    stereo70

    riskarb wrote:




    Two different positions?

    BTW: Awesome last trade!
     
    #607     Jun 15, 2006
  8. Quote from riskarb:

    SPX double barrier: 1215//1290

    SPX double: 1215//1290
    Premium: $478,000
    Payout: $1,000,000 [includes prem paid]
    Expires: June 29, 2006
    Negative edge: a lot
    Strike/barrier volatility: blended
    Initial Hedge: NA
    Symmetrical hedge: NA
    Vol edge/atm: NA



    Sorry, typo on the second-line. Had been toying with the 1210 strike, but the debit was kinked and priced on the recent touch of 1220. The debit was $55k higher for the 1210/1290.
     
    #608     Jun 15, 2006
  9. risk,

    seeing that you have alot of experience trading the internationals what is your exprience when it comes to correlation. For example, based on what you've seen in the past, when we have days like today is it more likely than not for the internationals to follow later tonight?

    Not looking for a free lunch, just interested in what you think on the matter?
     
    #609     Jun 15, 2006
  10. I foresee the DAX +2% max on today's action -- I haven't looked at DAX futures, but that would be my take. Europe seems to lead on the downside, US on the upside. I would be long US/Canada, short EUR.
     
    #610     Jun 15, 2006
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