riskarb's trading journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by riskarb, May 13, 2006.

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  1. Sorry, typo on the combo -- short the 390 from 34.50... up 1.50 on deltas and decay. Not really worth mentioning. The OT stuff was more fun. =)
     
    #131     May 18, 2006
  2. That is the GOOG trade I was referring to :) GOOG was at $370 or so when I saw the post I think.
     
    #132     May 18, 2006
  3. Risk,

    Any opinion on the PAAS IV spike. Candidate for a combo to fly conversion?
     
    #133     May 18, 2006
  4. Riskarb,

    First thanks for the GREAT SERVICE you provide on this forum. We are all GRATEFUL!

    With reference to this SGXNK trade. How's the liquidity in those options. When I checked into this last mnth, it seemed there was little to no volume in NK options. Or was I mistaken.

    Thanks again!
     
    #134     May 18, 2006
  5. The volume is very thin, but the market is typically 9-10 ticks wide on the atm [$40-$45]. Best gearing of any index option at roughly 40:1. I like to sell gammas in SGXNK when vols hit >23% as they did last night.

    Cache: I'll take a look at PAAS. [Easter eggs?] =)
     
    #135     May 18, 2006
  6. Yeah, we were trading 374[?] when I sold it. Didn't seem to make much sense to sell the 380 for flat deltas. I am somewhat bullish on GOOG here. That will change when the position inverts deltas. ha.
     
    #136     May 18, 2006
  7. segv

    segv

    What do you think about shorting ONXX vols around here? It is at 260% of SV and near historical IV highs. The pump seems attributed to the forthcoming American Society of Clinical Oncology meeting June 2 - 6. IV is not likely to dump until after the conference. Relatively safe +theta until then?

    -segv
     
    #137     May 18, 2006
  8. Hey Seg -- These scenario usually play-out with a ramp in vols into the conference. It's not so much a rise in stat-vol giving way to a rise in implieds, as it is a willingness to keep a floor under the $prem. If they options stay bid the vol must rise.

    FV on the calendar is $1.3750 here -- not enough juice to sell the May/Jun 20 spread.

    FV on the $22.50 straddle is $4.0725 for June. Again, not something I'd be unwilling to commit to into an onco-conference.
     
    #138     May 18, 2006
  9. Risk , about conversions...looks like the best time to close (win or lose) position is around 2 weeks before exp when OTM (long) gamma starts collapsing very fast. Is this fact should be consider ?
     
    #139     May 18, 2006
  10. PAAS -- I would test the water with a small quantity of the Jun 20 combo. It's trading $2.90 at 63% vols. I rarely sell gamma on stocks <$50/share.
     
    #140     May 18, 2006
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