Yeah, Donna. I sold the Sep 380 combo at an average of 82 last week, forgot the vols, but they were in the high 30s. You'd need to sell the iron fly with a 500 body strike to convert. I wouldn't want to be neutral at 500. Selling the 60/70 put spread will only net you a $4.00 credit here for the IC. With this drop in vols, both the IC and fly look like a pass with what you're holding. I would probably take you delta/vega gains on the bear call spread and call it a day with CME.
i am doing another ic on CME this month. I scooped up a may 440/430 put spread for 1.30 this morning. I think i'm gonna wait for it to gap fill before i sell the calls. if it stagnates in this area, i'll sell calls early next week. Even after last months CME debacle I still made $2.10 on the thing. I closed last friday right before the close, when it printed 500.11 at the close(where my short call was 500). I'm looking at 520/530 right now it's a buck. roughly a 26% gain currently for 25 days work(full ic). hmmm....
Update to the NTRI position: NTRI gapped $17!!! NTRI 50 straddle @ 18.55 Loss of -$10.85 it would seem prudent to stay away from 'hot' or volatile sectors such as oil, some tech, pharmas, apparently weight loss! companies, etc. and also check for past earnings surprises as a filter. Any thoughts?
On RMBS, I papertraded this Riskarb, Short 10 Jan35 Calls, Short 10 Jan45 Calls, Short 20 Jan35 Puts, Short 10 Jan45 Puts And it's up $9800 now. How do you convert this into a fly and lock in yoor credit?
I would offset both the PF and the straddle into those gains, but to answer your question: 1) Fly everything -- sell 10 x 35c, buy 20 x 40c, buy 20 x 30p = 20-lot short 30-35-40 iron fly[long natural fly]. Buy 10 of the 40p/50c wings to convert the 10 x 45 straddles into a 10-lot 40-45-50 short iron fly. 2) Take profits on either the PF or the straddle -- fly the remainder depending on your bull[40-45-50] or bear[30-35-40] bias. 3) Take profits and liquidate entire position -- there isn't much juice left since the ruling, vols got crushed -- would be my choice, hands-down.
The current vol's of 49 are very high. The low vol seems to be 23. The breakeven would be between 33.3 and 41.7. Would you only consider doing the May strangle?