Riskarb's combo to fly conversion journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by riskarb, Jan 12, 2006.

  1. You're welcome, but I'll stick to my instant mac & cheese with sliced hot dogs. :D BTW, good trade on AAPL.
     
    #491     Mar 13, 2006
  2. Would you mind posting a few details on how you traded it?
     
    #492     Mar 13, 2006
  3. Sure, the April long call/short put 90-strike synthetic long was offered at $86.10 with the natural shares trading at $91.70. The AGN deal implied $96 on the share-tender. The put was 5.70 bid with the call offered at 1.80. Strike - put + call = long cost basis[$86.10] on the long synthetic stock position.

    Go long the synthetic and sell the natural shares. To simplify things we'll ignore carry -- the synth should trade = the natural shares at $91.70.

    I started by shorting the natural shares -- I'd expected to get an error message on IB stating the shares were unavailable to source/borrow. When the trade went through I legged the synthetic.

    I have never seen a conversion/reversal trade so far out of line, including crash-scenarios. Whatever the trigger, the reversal traded within a point of parity today. I don't know what caused the convergence, but I wasn't about the ask questions. I covered the 3-way at the market this morning and booked >4 handles on a 2-day hold.

    BTW; Country Crock macaroni and cheese is the shiz.
     
    #493     Mar 13, 2006
  4. GOOG looks decent for a fly candidate. I'd take some long deltas, selling the Apr 450 combo. Somewhat ambivalent to bearish on the broad market, but I'm looking to get 800bp and $7 in premium out of this combo within a week with a move to neutrality.
     
    #494     Mar 14, 2006
  5. ok... heavy buying on KBH March puts today.
    Riskarb , would you take a hedged entry like short the KBH put (vols at 36) and long the index put (IYR , vols at 17) here ?
     
    #495     Mar 14, 2006
  6. Sure, provided the puts were skewed and I traded in a ratio favoring the index, long gamma, zero outlay.
     
    #496     Mar 14, 2006
  7. $450 Combo? or $350 Combo? I do not see GOOG even getting over $400 until MAY if all things are positive lol.

    I am gonna look into FLYing around $350. A new strategy I am testing is to buy the really wide FLY and then sell off imbedded FLYs as the stock moves around to collect premium to cover the cost and hopefully a net credit.

     
    #497     Mar 14, 2006
  8. got it , thanks
     
    #498     Mar 14, 2006
  9. 350, typo
     
    #499     Mar 14, 2006
  10. I think you'll be disappointed with the gains from theta and neutrality on the baby flies.
     
    #500     Mar 14, 2006