Riskarb's combo to fly conversion journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by riskarb, Jan 12, 2006.

  1. Fire away!
     
    #181     Jan 30, 2006
  2. I,m still running vols culs..
    But here is the yesterday's top ten:

    ISRG , USG , MSTR , GOOG, TIE,BMHC, UPL , PCU , CCJ,NTES , PD
    All liquid , >60 , >40 , sorted descending by vols
    If you still have trouble to run , I will post a full list with all # in the morning
     
    #182     Jan 30, 2006
  3. Thanks A -- GOOG, TIE and PD have been traded, but I will take a look at the others tonight.

    I may add a few that I am confident on direction even though they're not stand-outs on vol. In any event, I will not carry more than 30delta in any directional straddle play.
     
    #183     Jan 31, 2006
  4. You don't think a large move after FOMC likely?
     
    #184     Jan 31, 2006
  5. Btw, do you have a mental delta stop for offsetting neutral straddles? Or even a delta loss > theta gain threshold?
     
    #185     Jan 31, 2006
  6. GOOG: I decided to buy back the short call at $400 and there have legged out of the short straddle for a loss of ($302). I now hold the long $390 Call purchased at $61.70 and is down about the amount of my min. loss on the adjusted position. I decided to take a bullish position on GOOG leading into the earnings report and make a profit. If the earnings report is bad I will short the stock in the aftermarket to hedge the position nad limit my loss from the price drop and IV contraction. I know this is not riskarb's original intent but since I was able to now let out of the straddle at a minimal loss and expect GOOG to have at least 1 more bangin' quarter I made the adjustment today when the price looked right.

    OIH and ACL, still holding as theta does its job...
     
    #186     Jan 31, 2006
  7. Am long some deltas on GOOG too but I have a feeling it's going to bite me in the ass today. :mad: might even get out by close.

    RE: OIH, nice little pullback today. Theta catching up with delta. FYI: Will convert/offset latest friday PM. Don't want to hold naked over the weekend. Was looking at the 140/160 strangle to make a pregnant 140/150/160 fly.

    MoMoney.

     
    #187     Jan 31, 2006
  8. I am going to be very quick in shorting GOOG if the numbers look bad lol.

     
    #188     Jan 31, 2006
  9. Sold the CME Feb 410 straddle at $28.20 at 37% vol. Looking for a hold through Monday as usual.
     
    #189     Jan 31, 2006
  10. Fed: I think the GOOG report will be more indicative of index direction.

    Normally at +/-70d. I let the OIH get away from me, but these are very conservatively allocated.
     
    #190     Jan 31, 2006