I don't think Joe will ever find a way to get the polls and surveys to vote for him. Perhaps if he plants moar trees the land will swing his way. (For those who need context: polls, surveys and land don't vote). PS. Yes, Moar Guitars (a real thing) are made from moar trees.
Facts.Incumbents with his poll numbers within a year of re election never has,and they all lost re election.
The elephants in the room will be issues like Wars (e.g. Russia/Ukraine, Israel/Hamas), abortion, inflation, and immigrants gaining voting rights, Independents jumping into the election waters along with the fact that a few other key Democrats still have not stepped up to the plate to prepare to take out Joe Biden as if they're more afraid of Trump. The latter is important because Republicans are becoming uneasy with the thought of a Biden/Trump repeat...too much chaos that will bring to the GOP. More so for Republicans than Democrats. Ohio and Kentucky recently opened a path to an election victory for the Democrats. The question is do they need Joe to be driving that car towards a possible showdown against a "criminally convicted Trump" by election time ??? Simply, right now for someone to wish for Joe Biden to fail is just another Joe Manchin wannabe without a suitable alternative to take on Trump. Thus, find a strong alternative first and then get rid of Joe Biden. wrbtrader
No,they have not.Off year local races have a poor record of predicting what party will win the presidency.