Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by Whisky, Oct 16, 2009.

  1. Whisky

    Whisky

    Exactly. But that would not bring an extra tic over the original method and rules. Would it?.
     
    #391     Oct 21, 2009
  2. AyeYo

    AyeYo

    LOL

    So easy a caveman could do it. Market is random my ass.
     
    #392     Oct 21, 2009
  3. AyeYo

    AyeYo

    I don't really care about bringing an extra tick to a method which has an unproven return to begin with. Prove break-even and then we can worry about making it better.
     
    #393     Oct 21, 2009
  4. Whisky

    Whisky

    ahhh. Finally a brag. Would you care to post proof that it is easy for a caveman or for you?.
     
    #394     Oct 21, 2009
  5. euclid

    euclid

    So, are you saying that the heads=long, tails=short strategy has a negative expectancy? If that were true, we could simply reverse the rule to get a positive expectancy!

    Suppose we reduce this to a really simple level for you. Imagine there is only one possible outcome i.e. the market goes up 1 point every day. Half the time we go long and make 1pt and half the time we go short and lose 1pt. On average we break even. You see how the positive bias makes no difference? Once you have figured that one out. You can consider what happens if there are two possible outcomes. Then you can move on to any number of outcomes following any distribution or pattern. Result always averages breakeven. [provided the chance of your going bust during the coin tossing lifetime of the average bum is insignificant and provided that there is zero correlation between the coin tossing bum and the market]
     
    #395     Oct 21, 2009
  6. Whisky

    Whisky

    Again?. I was hoping for more intelligent discourse than plain repetition.

    You will have to prove to yourself and others that your suggestions bring in at least 1 tic per day on average extra profit over the original method rules.
     
    #396     Oct 21, 2009
  7. Whisky

    Whisky

    Really?. Can you prove it to yourself and others?.
     
    #397     Oct 21, 2009
  8. Whisky

    Whisky

    Is that a yes o no to my question:

    Can you prove it to yourself and others?.

    I would guess not, since you have been extremely busy in this thread to focus on trading a 1 minute chart, but feel free to prove me wrong.
     
    #398     Oct 21, 2009
  9. jjf

    jjf



    Lovely chart bordaline but could'nt you make more money if you changed the colors and brightened things up.

    "bordaline" is that a nicname your mother gave you?
     
    #399     Oct 21, 2009
  10. Whisky

    Whisky

    You will have to prove to yourself and others that your suggestions bring in at least 1 tic per day on average extra profit over the original method rules.
     
    #400     Oct 21, 2009