Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by Whisky, Oct 16, 2009.

  1. PPT

    PPT

    The bum should do online classes and write a book.

    probably beat 95% of all gurus out there.
     
    #151     Oct 18, 2009
  2. I read 'all' of your posts - and didn't understand much of anything you said
     
    #152     Oct 18, 2009
  3. That's OK.

    It means you were one of the smart ones.
     
    #153     Oct 18, 2009
  4. Here's a little background on Jack:

    Jack churns out demented, unsupported claims like this:
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=912447&highlight=#post912447
    When in reality he LOST 24% in a trading contest and unsuccessfully tried to obfuscate his way out of it on Usenet:
    http://groups.google.com/group/misc...a927db8ba840?hl=en&lnk=st&q=hershey+loses+24#

    He also tried to BS his way out of yet more of his sinking stock picks that lost $22,000:
    http://groups.google.com/group/misc...d/thread/981513b3a003f259/2db2e88d1407af42?hl

    If you backtest his model of the price, volume relationship by buying the "0 to 7 turn" as described in "Tomorrow's Paper Today" and selling 5 days later, you'll get an equity curve like this:
    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2014607>

    Which looks eerily like the equity curve you get when you test his "rocket" methodology:
    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1112121>

    Kind of what you'd expect from someone who thinks stochastics is a leading indicator:
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1302778&#post1302778
    Of course Jack tries to blame the failure of his "methods" on the backtester, so listen to him crow about this trade (before it went bad) in his own words:
    http://www.mediafire.com/?0ielxnmeiro
    <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2023032>

    Ask Jack what happened to his promise to his former IBD group to turn $10,000 into $1 Million in 100 days and document it on ET:
    http://www.mediafire.com/?1gi2qygm3yh

    Some unfortunate newbies who get sucked in by Jack's pied piper routine start out ingratiating and actually believe Jack is giving away the "keys to the kingdom." But this one eventually came to his own conclusion that Jack is "nuts":
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1940582#post1940582

     
    #154     Oct 18, 2009
  5. Whisky

    Whisky

    So... you have something better than 65% 1-1?. Care to ellaborate or enlighten us?
     
    #155     Oct 19, 2009
  6. Whisky

    Whisky

    Thanks. Try to behave. Give Jack some rope. Some of his ideas MIGHT be better than a coin toss. Or that's what the odds would indicate.
     
    #156     Oct 19, 2009
  7. Whisky

    Whisky

    I prefer forward-testing of self-evident truths, but don't let that stop you from backtesting anything you like.
     
    #157     Oct 19, 2009
  8. Whisky

    Whisky

    You will have to prove to yourself and others that your suggestions bring in at least 1 tic per day on average extra profit over the original method rules.
     
    #158     Oct 19, 2009
  9. Whisky

    Whisky

    Are you suggesting I change coins?. Can you clarify your suggestion into objective practical rules that will yield objective entry, exit and sizing orders?
     
    #159     Oct 19, 2009
  10. Whisky

    Whisky

    Can you further translate that diagram and/or all of previous Jack's posts into objective english buy, sell, size rules ready for execution in the market? Preferibly that a computer or an 8 year old would understand. I can observe that chart is of a shorter timeframe and therefore subject to a lot more commissions and slippage costs, but will cut you some rope. Thanks.
     
    #160     Oct 19, 2009