Quiz - performance of international equities versus US bonds since 1988

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Maverick2608, May 3, 2019.

Which index has yielded the highest return since 12-31-1987

  1. MSCI ACWI ex USA Net Total Return USD Index

    1 vote(s)
    50.0%
  2. Bloomberg Barclays US Agg Total Return Value Unhedged USD Index

    1 vote(s)
    50.0%
  1. The start date of the quiz is 12-31-1987 because that is the inception of the MSCI ACWI ex USA index.

    The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market.

    Bonus info: The MSCI ACWI ex USA index had a drawdown during the financial crisis of 60.6%.
     
    Last edited: May 3, 2019
  2. dozu888

    dozu888

    why is this a quiz... what is your damn point lol.
     
  3. Amahrix

    Amahrix

    Reverse psychology... Maverick wants us to do his homework. ;p
     
  4. Since no one wants to play, here is the answer:
    Bloomberg Barclays US Agg Total Return Value Unhedged USD Index has performed better than MSCI ACWI ex USA Net Total Return USD Index.

    I find that interesting since the drawdowns of the MSCI ACWI ex USA Net Total Return USD Index have been brutal, while the performance of the bond index seems nice and smooth.

    So for more than 30 years, US bonds have done better than international equities even without adjusting for risk, which has been massive for equities.
     
  5. sle

    sle

    That's not surprising, of course - US equities have been the only equity market with a reasonable performance. On the other hand, government bonds have outperformed globally and likely to continue to do so.
     
  6. srinir

    srinir

    When the comparison starts from 80's bonds always win. It is pretty easy when the starting yields were starting from 14%. It is one way trip down with very minor hicups in 93-94
     
    ironchef and Maverick2608 like this.
  7. sle

    sle

    You mean up, right? :D
     
  8. srinir

    srinir

    I mentioned starting yield 14%. In that context rates down and price up
     
  9. Nobert

    Nobert

    Overall trend for global GDP is, slowing down (?)

    might be, negative returns, on long term bonds, by 2030\2035.


    Picked up this, from interview on Real Vision,

    any, qualified, fundamental insights - most welcome,

    thanks.