I've been on the wrong side of this trade for months, buying USO puts (thank god not shorting CL or QM... i would've really been slaughtered). So with that... want to see the ET consensus.
What exactly is your thread about? I agree that Crude oil price is rising (can reach $200 as per your poll & news reports). However the reason is more likely due to the falling dollar value, as explained in the following thread: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=119721