Query about USD/EUR seasonal pattern...

Discussion in 'Forex' started by Overnight, Jul 2, 2021.

  1. Overnight

    Overnight

    Hey you crazy FX peeps. Question for you on exchange rate...

    I have a couple friends traveling to France at end of September to attend a wedding.

    I was wondering about how they could get best exchange rate for their USD.

    Should they exchange their USD for Euros now to lock in the current FOREX rate, or wait until they travel there at end of Sep?

    Is there a seasonal pattern for EUR/USD and an optimal time to exchange, or is it a crap-shoot?

    It is not a lot of money. I figure they will prolly spend 2-3K USD when in France. Is that even worth bothering about?
     
  2. easymon1

    easymon1

    No.
    2021 0702 usd d.png delete dkej.jpg 8 ball.jpg
     
    Overnight likes this.
  3. kmiklas

    kmiklas

    Find someone that is traveling to the States and needs USD. Trade at market price, with Zero (0) commissions, fees, and market-maker cuts of all kind. They can be 14% or higher at the airport... armed robbery!
     
  4. easymon1

    easymon1

    Yes, flash as much cash as possible in the airport, in bars, on streetcorners in all the right neighborhoods. You can run pretty fast, right?
    Just funnin witchoo.
     
  5. kmiklas

    kmiklas

    Just ask your friends in France for someone that needs USD. They can also look here in the US for people holding Euros.

    The point is to avoid the commissions and fees... they're crushing.
     
    easymon1 likes this.
  6. tomorton

    tomorton

    Good advice. I generally travel into France and the EUR area once or twice a year from the UK. Far more money can be lost or saved according to where you exchange your currency for Euros rather than how soon or how late before the trip you do it.
     
    kmiklas likes this.
  7. Sig

    Sig

    So there's no seasonality to forex, if there was it would be arb'd away in microseconds.

    Avoiding commission and ATM fees are really the way to save money. Cheapest is to get a credit card that charges only interbank rate with no forex fee and out everything on that, get a cashback or miles card for an extra bonus. To get petty cash, get a transferwise (now wise) ATM card. They have low conversion fees and don't charge you a foreign ATM fee like almost every US bank does. If you have to pay for a big ticket item by wire or direct deposit, you can also use wise, or if you want to save the most open an IB account and convert the currency using their forex function, you only pay a de minimis commission. Overkill for just a few thousand dollars though.
     
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  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    Thanks for the replies. They have Bank of America accounts.

    So I am going to assume it would be better for them to exchange their USD for Euros at a local BOA branch before leaving for France, rather than doing it at CDG airport in Paris? I am assuming the airport will charge a premium on the exchange rate.
     
  9. ph1l

    ph1l

    Neither of those options is good for more than small amounts of cash.
    https://www.tripsavvy.com/how-to-exchange-euros-1516923
    But avoid using credit cards for cash advances, of course.

     
  10. Overnight

    Overnight

    The article sux.

    "Do use a bank ATM; if your card is swallowed up, you can go in to retrieve it...

    "Do take an extra ATM card in case yours is stolen or gobbled up by the machine..."

    Can you spell c-o-n-t-r-a-d-i-c-t-i-o-n?

    "...Do remember that ATM transactions come with fees. ..They may also charge a percentage for the currency conversion, on top of the usual Visa and MasterCard fee (can be up to 3%) for all international transactions..."

    Thanks for the attempt at help. I got it.

    Tripsavvy/Kelby Carr needs a gnome to get some brains beyond the conflicting BS they listed in their article, confusing common sense with even-more-common sense.
     
    #10     Jul 31, 2021