Purecycle PCT

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by nursebee, Oct 14, 2024.

  1. nursebee

    nursebee

  2. nursebee

    nursebee

  3. nursebee

    nursebee

    5.625%
     
    #93     Nov 7, 2024
  4. poopy

    poopy

    So? Not much of a reaction. What's your take?
     
    #94     Nov 7, 2024
  5. nursebee

    nursebee

    I'm out! Maybe too emotional but tough to hold a company that does not sell anything yet. I was profitable. I'd gotten up to 10% of portfolio in it.

    They did not sell anything this quarter.
    They are "stockpiling" to have enough for orders...
    PG money not coming in until Q3/4 next year
    I think they might do well long term, but no rush to cover shorts or for big money to buy in
    No written update on SK failure or what is going on in Augusta.
    I see them having some success, but not exponential or not enough.

    I might be very wrong on my sense of it, hope I'll be comfortable.
    If they execute and do well, there will be opportunity to buy in later with better data

    My equity is at all time highs.

    Blah blah blah, it might all be nonsense.
     
    #95     Nov 7, 2024
    vanzandt likes this.
  6. nursebee

    nursebee

    What's your take?

    It's just not "sexy" enough to bring lots of interest.
    Very small mkt cap
     
    Last edited: Nov 7, 2024
    #96     Nov 7, 2024
  7. I did a little scalp on it (loss) last week. Looking at the bigger chart, it needs to retest the base again. Nice daily move after you started this thread. You could do a subscription service. :)

    And that is all that matters!
     
    #97     Nov 7, 2024
  8. nursebee

    nursebee

    I've had bulls in other stocks argue with my analysis before, specifically with my mathematical computations as follows:

    There are a lot of balls in the air, each ball has a given likelihood of occurring, and all balls have to occur for the end result to be great.

    If ball one has a 25% chance of happening
    and ball two has a 27% chance of happening
    and ball three has a 90% chance,
    (Note each of the above taken alone might be worth investing in)

    then the likelihood of all three occurring is
    0.25 x 0.27 x 0.90 = 0.06075 (6%)

    That is not favorable math, especially if there are more balls...

    On the call, he is most excited talking about TAM
     
    #98     Nov 7, 2024
  9. poopy

    poopy

    I don't have your level of interest. I was relying on a buy side pro in the space. He's out but had a low DCA. He's waiting to get back in on beta (get in on mkt breaks).
     
    #99     Nov 7, 2024
  10. nursebee

    nursebee


    Man did this ever nail it!
     
    #100     Nov 8, 2024