puddles 2011 trade journal (formerly a 70k bet..)

Discussion in 'Journals' started by puddles, Jan 3, 2011.

  1. had a WFC short prior to the 10am #s that i scaled out of, would have been an easy winner with the awful #s

    10:11

    SHORT RIMM 40.9
    STOP 41.01
    TGT 40.68

    out +0.22
     
    #511     Jun 1, 2011
  2. Math_Wiz

    Math_Wiz

    You seem to be a statisticaly oriented person, so I have to ask you, have you studied the statistics of your afternoon entries vs your morning entries? In other words, are you winning ~44% of your afternoon trades, similar to your morning trades?

    +-*/ Math_Wiz
     
    #512     Jun 1, 2011
  3. for 2011 only

    9:30-10: 42%
    10-11: 36%
    11-2: 34%
    2-4: 47%

    i've really slowed down my trading between 10-11 and try to make sure i only take the best setups to improve my winrate.

    i avoid 11-2 unless a trade jumps off the screen at me (unlikely during summer).

    i used to be near 30% on my 9:30-10am trades in mid 2010 until i tweaked my strategy. i weigh certain factors a lot heavily at certain points during the day.
     
    #513     Jun 1, 2011
  4. Math_Wiz

    Math_Wiz

    Thanks. That's really cool that you've got that all worked out. It makes tweaking possible. :) :cool:

    +-*/ Math_Wiz
     
    #514     Jun 1, 2011
  5. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20110601/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20110601/rimm.png">

    10:11

    SHORT RIMM 40.9
    STOP 41.01
    TGT 40.68

    - 10am #s bad
    - RIMM at 52w low
    - pretty aggressive entry, tight LH under round #
    - out +0.22

    I was busy most of the afternoon where money apparently was falling from the sky if you had shares of anything to short..

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2011/06/01/2011-06-01-trades/
     
    #515     Jun 1, 2011
  6. 10:02

    SHORT FDO 53.51
    STOP 53.67
    STOP TGT 53.19

    out -0.19

    10:11

    LONG MON 70.01
    STOP 69.8
    TGT 70.43

    out -0.25
     
    #516     Jun 2, 2011
  7. 10:28

    SHORT COH 61.79
    STOP 62.01
    TGT 62.35

    out -0.25

    not helping my 10-11 stats today
     
    #517     Jun 2, 2011
  8. <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20110602/spy.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20110602/fdo.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20110602/mon.png">

    <img src="http://puddles.humanfund.ca/20110602/coh.png">

    10:02

    SHORT FDO 53.51
    STOP 53.67
    STOP TGT 53.19

    - gap down vs SPY gap up
    - gap and crap from the open
    - tight LH at the lows, shorting what I believed were bad 10am #s
    - should have moved to a b/e stop
    - out -0.19

    10:11

    LONG MON 70.01
    STOP 69.8
    TGT 70.43

    - Marginally stronger than the open
    - as soon as I entered i said in chat "this is a bad entry". i should have punched it out
    - should have waited for a hold over the level
    - out -0.25

    10:28

    SHORT COH 61.79
    STOP 62.01
    TGT 62.35

    - By 10:25 COH was retesting it's lows
    - SPY was weak but only at the middle of it's range
    - short LOD looking for a market breakdown
    - out -0.25

    http://puddles.humanfund.ca/wp/2011/06/02/2011-06-02-trades/
     
    #518     Jun 2, 2011
  9. 10:01

    SHORT V 78.31
    STOP 78.45
    TGT 78.03
     
    #519     Jun 6, 2011
  10. out -0.19
     
    #520     Jun 6, 2011