Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by TazTheLaz, May 28, 2022.

  1. wmwmw

    wmwmw


    My entry was to short at SPX 4229 on 5/18/2022, cover at 3947 on 5/23; Short again at 3905 on 5/24, cover and go long at 3960 on 5/25,Hold long till now.
    It doesn't need to guess what phase it is. It just goes with the trend.
     
    #121     May 29, 2022
  2. wrbtrader

    wrbtrader

    This is something (the question) to send directly to the OP via private message to see if he can answer correctly...

    They then will ask for the science so that they can verify themself.

    You then post the following to help them to determine the phase of a market even though the chart is very clear when someone compares it to current price action on the same timeframe...

    accumulation-distribution-equation.png

    It would determine if the person merits having an in-depth conversation about your TA assuming the chart relates to a concept in your TA. In reality, most will say the above is just gibberish and will accuse you of hiding the truth that TA is too complicated. :D

    You then respond with a link to the Accumulation/Distribution Index calculation...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulation/distribution_index

    It will not resolve anything nor encourage them to do their own research into the chart that you just posted because they want to be spoon-fed every single detail to them while they remain anonymous.

    wrbtrader
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2022
    #122     May 29, 2022
  3. notagain

    notagain

    MACD works for entry direction and limited continuation.
    Forecasting future market conditions and what to use for decision points is like forecasting the weather.
     
    #123     May 29, 2022
  4. tomkat22

    tomkat22

    Please delete this post,it's gonna depress and discourage new traders.LOL. 11 years,12 hours a day,full time? In approximately the same amount of time(11 years) Kristjan Kullamagi took a 10k account to 100mm plus. Mostly breakout trades and parabolic shorting. He seems to use a 50/50 mix of TA and FA.
     
    #124     May 29, 2022
    SimpleMeLike and taowave like this.
  5. maxinger

    maxinger

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works

    ---->

    DON'T Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works

    __________________________



     
    #125     May 29, 2022
    smallfil likes this.
  6. Tell that to the experts in this thread that say : "Indicators are not TA, they are ´price analysis´" "TA is market analysis". I don't care at all in case you wanted to school me.
     
    #126     May 29, 2022
  7. deaddog

    deaddog

    Will Rogers said;

    "Don't gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it.

    If it don't go up, don't buy it". I added; "If it goes down get rid of it".

    I swing trade individual stocks.

    I don't look at fundamentals or care what the company does.

    I scan for stocks making new highs.

    I prefer stocks that are breaking out of a consolidation.

    I use money management (Usually risk less than 1% of capital)

    I use risk management. (Tight stops)

    I make money year over year and have managed to sit out the big drops in 2008 and 2020.

    If that's TA it works for me.
     
    #127     May 29, 2022
  8. smallfil

    smallfil

    Indicators are a measure of price. Technical analysis is the study of stockcharts. Apples to oranges comparison. It will never work because two people looking at two different things. One other problem is those studying technical analysis include, indicators in their study of stockcharts. If the indicators fail and most times it fails, they say technical analysis does not work. They have added complexity and noise to the stockchart then, blame technical analysis as the problem. It is all because of a lack of understanding of how the parts make up the whole.
     
    #128     May 29, 2022
  9. .

    Hi TazTheLaz,

    Please consider reading the following books. I believe they will open your mind to the possibility that TA can be and is being used by some individuals to become wealthy.

    Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders – Jack Schwager
    The New Market Wizards: Conversations with America’s Top Traders – Jack Schwager
    Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street’s Champion Day Trader - Martin Schwartz
    Trading Sardines – Linda Bradford Raschke
    Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard… - Mark Minervini
    Simple Techniques That Beat the Market… – Brandon Kioseff
    Trade Like a Casino – Richard Weissman
     
    #129     May 29, 2022
  10. Hello TazTheLaz,

    https://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c3hU2KVr9LV

    here my account. And see, that is not even enough to prove it TA works.

    I believe that is what is you looking for. Check back with me in a year from now to see how it goes.
     
    #130     May 29, 2022
    Ivano likes this.