Probability of a stock to follow a specific pathway

Discussion in 'Options' started by MrAgi1, Jun 11, 2021.

  1. destriero

    destriero


    lol and you'll admit to that?
     
    #61     Jun 12, 2021
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  2. destriero

    destriero

    #62     Jun 12, 2021
    MrAgi1 likes this.
  3. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    It’s not condescending at all. You had two signals that put you into a position where you had no signal and didn’t realize it.

    You are postulating on an exotic derivative without understanding all the implications of black scholes (for example it doesn’t actually rely on the assumption of log normal returns).

    But that’s your choice if you know everything because you read 20 trading books a year. Somehow they all missed triangular arbitrage.
     
    #63     Jun 12, 2021
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  4. destriero

    destriero

    Uh oh, he broke out the "sonny boy"

     
    #64     Jun 12, 2021
    taowave and MrAgi1 like this.
  5. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    he had exposure to another pair that he had no signal in. So his trade generation model isn’t very robust.
     
    #65     Jun 12, 2021
    MrAgi1 likes this.
  6. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    Anyway. I actually think you are a decent guy. But I think you are missing some knowledge which can help you. But you disagree So good luck to you.
     
    #66     Jun 12, 2021
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  7. destriero

    destriero


    God, I hate this place.
     
    #67     Jun 12, 2021
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  8. traider

    traider

    Are we becoming a Wilmott board? That is so cool
     
    #68     Jun 12, 2021
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  9. guru

    guru

    The original questions in this thread have a feel of perpetual student syndrome. I’ve seen lots of people asking pointless questions, studying them for months, then figuring out how useless they were, moving on, and finding new pointless topics to study and questions to ask. Just trade some actual options and learn practical stuff. Or derive the answers from historical data, which would also lead to practical findings.
     
    Last edited: Jun 13, 2021
    #69     Jun 13, 2021
  10. and yet here you are. absolutely embarrassing.
     
    #70     Jun 13, 2021